Plain language summary
This meta-analysis reviewed 15 studies covering a total of 2473 confirmed COVID-19 patients to summarise the potential risk factors for smokers and patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), a dysfunction of the lung associated with limitation in airflow. They found that neither COPD or smoking increased the initial risk of contracting COVID-19 with only 2% and 9% respectively of the cases falling into these categories. However, both groups had increased risk of developing more servere forms of COVID-19 requiring hospitalisation, admission to Intensive Care Units (ICU), mechanical ventilation, and ultimately death, with a much higher mortality rate of 60% versus other patients. Current smokers were also shown to have double the risk of complications versus ex-smokers. The most severe cases were generally in the older age brackets, with coexisting comorbidities and a hypothesized greater amount of lung damage. Both groups showed signs of acute inflammation and had a much slower recovery compared to non-smokers and patients without COPD. Despite the low prevalence of these groups contracting COVID-19, these people should be considered vulnerable because of the severity of symptoms and greater burden on healthcare.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an evolving infectious disease that dramatically spread all over the world in the early part of 2020. No studies have yet summarized the potential severity and mortality risks caused by COVID-19 in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and we update information in smokers. METHODS We systematically searched electronic databases from inception to March 24, 2020. Data were extracted by two independent authors in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Study quality was assessed using a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We synthesized a narrative from eligible studies and conducted a meta-analysis using a random-effects model to calculate pooled prevalence rates and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). RESULTS In total, 123 abstracts were screened and 61 full-text manuscripts were reviewed. A total of 15 studies met the inclusion criteria, which included a total of 2473 confirmed COVID-19 patients. All studies were included in the meta-analysis. The crude case fatality rate of COVID-19 was 7.4%. The pooled prevalence rates of COPD patients and smokers in COVID-19 cases were 2% (95% CI, 1%-3%) and 9% (95% CI, 4%-14%) respectively. COPD patients were at a higher risk of more severe disease (risk of severity = 63%, (22/35) compared to patients without COPD 33.4% (409/1224) [calculated RR, 1.88 (95% CI, 1.4-2.4)]. This was associated with higher mortality (60%). Our results showed that 22% (31/139) of current smokers and 46% (13/28) of ex-smokers had severe complications. The calculated RR showed that current smokers were 1.45 times more likely [95% CI: 1.03-2.04] to have severe complications compared to former and never smokers. Current smokers also had a higher mortality rate of 38.5%. CONCLUSION Although COPD prevalence in COVID-19 cases was low in current reports, COVID-19 infection was associated with substantial severity and mortality rates in COPD. Compared to former and never smokers, current smokers were at greater risk of severe complications and higher mortality rate. Effective preventive measures are required to reduce COVID-19 risk in COPD patients and current smokers.
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