Richard Paisey, Charles Daniels, Will Howitt, Derek Greatorex, Claire Campbell, Christopher Paisey, Rosamund Paisey, Julie Frost, Robert Bromige
Journal: BMJ nutrition, prevention & health 2022;5(1):55-61
PMID: 35814720
The prevalence of obesity and associated comorbidities such as Type 2 diabetes can be reduced by implementing population-wide weight loss dietary strategies. A very low-calorie diet (VLCD) has been considered a successful dietary strategy for people with Type 2 diabetes and obesity. A total of 325 people participated in this long-term observational study. Female participants consumed 450 kcal/day, and male participants consumed 650 kcal/day for at least three months. This 15-year follow-up retrospective study looked at the effects of VLCD in obese participants. In the 15-year follow-up, only 5.9% of participants maintained >10kg weight loss. However, 95% of participants gained weight after 15 years. Ten participants went into diabetes remission after three months of VLCD intervention. The results showed no positive effects of VLCD on diabetes remission after 15 years. However, there was a higher incidence of cardiovascular disease among participants who had considerable weight loss after the VLCD intervention. Further robust studies are required to evaluate the relationship between weight loss and the incidence of cardiovascular disease. However, healthcare professionals can use the results of this study to understand the short-term benefits of VLCD and the long-term impact of the obesogenic environment on the health of the general population.
OBJECTIVE
To assess weight loss maintenance, diabetes status, mortality and morbidity 15 years after a very low calorie diet programme (VLCD) in patients with obesity.
DESIGN
General practice data bases were interrogated for subjects coded for group therapy with VLCD in the 1990s. Causes of death, occurrence of vascular disease and remission or development of diabetes were ascertained from patient records and national stroke and cardiovascular disease data bases.
RESULTS
325 subjects engaged in the programme and had sufficient data for analysis. Baseline characteristics were: age 47.8±12. 8 years; body mass index (BMI) 36.1±6.8 kg/m; 79.1% female/20.9% male; 13.5% had type 2 diabetes. After 15±4 years weight had changed from 97.9±19 kg at baseline to 100±20.8 kg. 10 with diabetes at baseline were in remission at 3 months, but only two remained in remission at 5 years. 50 new cases of type 2 diabetes and 11 of impaired fasting glucose developed during follow-up. Only 5.9% who remained healthy at follow-up had maintained >10% body weight reduction. Neither diabetes incidence nor diabetes free survival were related to percentage body weight lost during VLCD. Only baseline BMI was related to development of new impaired fasting glucose or diabetes by 15 years (p=0.007). 37 subjects had a cardiovascular event. Age (p=0.000002) and degree of weight loss after VLCD (p=0.03) were significantly associated with subsequent vascular events.
CONCLUSION
Long-term maintenance of weight loss after VLCD was rare in this single centre retrospective study 15 years later. Glucose intolerance developed in 21.4%. Lasting remission of type 2 diabetes or prevention of later glucose intolerance were not achieved. Vascular events were more frequent in those who lost most weight. Risk management during weight regain should be studied in future to assess potential for reduction in adverse cardiovascular outcomes.
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.
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