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CT-derived Chest Muscle Metrics for Outcome Prediction in Patients with COVID-19.
Schiaffino, S, Albano, D, Cozzi, A, Messina, C, Arioli, R, Bnà, C, Bruno, A, Carbonaro, LA, Carriero, A, Carriero, S, et al
Radiology. 2021;(2):E328-E336
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Background Lower muscle mass is a known predictor of unfavorable outcomes, but its prognostic impact on patients with COVID-19 is unknown. Purpose To investigate the contribution of CT-derived muscle status in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Materials and Methods Clinical or laboratory data and outcomes (intensive care unit [ICU] admission and death) were retrospectively retrieved for patients with reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, who underwent chest CT on admission in four hospitals in Northern Italy from February 21 to April 30, 2020. The extent and type of pulmonary involvement, mediastinal lymphadenopathy, and pleural effusion were assessed. Cross-sectional areas and attenuation by paravertebral muscles were measured on axial CT images at the T5 and T12 vertebral level. Multivariable linear and binary logistic regression, including calculation of odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs, were used to build four models to predict ICU admission and death, which were tested and compared by using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results A total of 552 patients (364 men and 188 women; median age, 65 years [interquartile range, 54-75 years]) were included. In a CT-based model, lower-than-median T5 paravertebral muscle areas showed the highest ORs for ICU admission (OR, 4.8; 95% CI: 2.7, 8.5; P < .001) and death (OR, 2.3; 95% CI: 1.0, 2.9; P = .03). When clinical variables were included in the model, lower-than-median T5 paravertebral muscle areas still showed the highest ORs for both ICU admission (OR, 4.3; 95%: CI: 2.5, 7.7; P < .001) and death (OR, 2.3; 95% CI: 1.3, 3.7; P = .001). At receiver operating characteristic analysis, the CT-based model and the model including clinical variables showed the same area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for ICU admission prediction (AUC, 0.83; P = .38) and were not different in terms of predicting death (AUC, 0.86 vs AUC, 0.87, respectively; P = .28). Conclusion In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, lower muscle mass on CT images was independently associated with intensive care unit admission and in-hospital mortality. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.
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Study of Thoracic CT in COVID-19: The STOIC Project.
Revel, MP, Boussouar, S, de Margerie-Mellon, C, Saab, I, Lapotre, T, Mompoint, D, Chassagnon, G, Milon, A, Lederlin, M, Bennani, S, et al
Radiology. 2021;(1):E361-E370
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Background There are conflicting data regarding the diagnostic performance of chest CT for COVID-19 pneumonia. Disease extent at CT has been reported to influence prognosis. Purpose To create a large publicly available data set and assess the diagnostic and prognostic value of CT in COVID-19 pneumonia. Materials and Methods This multicenter, observational, retrospective cohort study involved 20 French university hospitals. Eligible patients presented at the emergency departments of the hospitals involved between March 1 and April 30th, 2020, and underwent both thoracic CT and reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing for suspected COVID-19 pneumonia. CT images were read blinded to initial reports, RT-PCR, demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, and outcome. Readers classified CT scans as either positive or negative for COVID-19 based on criteria published by the French Society of Radiology. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop a model predicting severe outcome (intubation or death) at 1-month follow-up in patients positive for both RT-PCR and CT, using clinical and radiologic features. Results Among 10 930 patients screened for eligibility, 10 735 (median age, 65 years; interquartile range, 51-77 years; 6147 men) were included and 6448 (60%) had a positive RT-PCR result. With RT-PCR as reference, the sensitivity and specificity of CT were 80.2% (95% CI: 79.3, 81.2) and 79.7% (95% CI: 78.5, 80.9), respectively, with strong agreement between junior and senior radiologists (Gwet AC1 coefficient, 0.79). Of all the variables analyzed, the extent of pneumonia at CT (odds ratio, 3.25; 95% CI: 2.71, 3.89) was the best predictor of severe outcome at 1 month. A score based solely on clinical variables predicted a severe outcome with an area under the curve of 0.64 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.66), improving to 0.69 (95% CI: 0.6, 0.71) when it also included the extent of pneumonia and coronary calcium score at CT. Conclusion Using predefined criteria, CT reading is not influenced by reader's experience and helps predict the outcome at 1 month. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04355507 Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Rubin in this issue.
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Radiomics of cholangiocarcinoma on pretreatment CT can identify patients who would best respond to radioembolisation.
Mosconi, C, Cucchetti, A, Bruno, A, Cappelli, A, Bargellini, I, De Benedittis, C, Lorenzoni, G, Gramenzi, A, Tarantino, FP, Parini, L, et al
European radiology. 2020;(8):4534-4544
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Results after trans-arterial radioembolisation (TARE) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCC) depend on the architecture of the tumour. This latter can be quantified through computed tomography (CT) texture analysis. The aims of the present study were to analyse relationships between CT textural features prior to TARE and objective response (OR), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). METHODS Texture analysis was retrospectively applied to 55 pre-TARE CT scans of iCCs, focusing attention on the histogram-based features and the grey-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM). Texture features were harmonised using the ComBat procedure. Objective response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumours 1.1. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was applied to select the most useful textural features related to OR. RESULTS Of the 55 patients, 53 had post-TARE imaging available, showing OR in 56.6% of cases. Texture analysis showed that iCCs showing OR after TARE had a higher uptake of iodine contrast in the arterial phase (higher mean histogram values, p < 0.001) and more homogeneous distribution (lower kurtosis, p = 0.043; GLCM contrast, p = 0.004; GLCM dissimilarity, p = 0.005, and higher GLCM homogeneity, p = 0.005; and GLCM correlation p = 0.030) at the pre-TARE CT scan. A favourable radiomic signature was calculated and observed in 15 of the 55 patients. The median PFS of these 15 patients was 12.1 months and that of the remaining 40 patients was 5.1 months (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS Texture analysis of pre-TARE CT scans can quantify vascularisation and homogeneity of iCC architecture, providing clinical information useful in identifying ideal TARE candidates. KEY POINTS • Hypervascular tumours with a more homogeneous uptake of iodine contrast in the arterial phase were those most likely to be effectively treated by TARE. • The arterial phase was observed to be the best acquisition phase for providing information regarding the "sensitivity" of the tumour to TARE. • Patients with favourable radiomic signature showed a median progression-free survival of 12.1 months versus 5.1 months of patients with an unfavourable signature (p = 0.008).
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Deep Learning-Based Quantification of Epicardial Adipose Tissue Volume and Attenuation Predicts Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Asymptomatic Subjects.
Eisenberg, E, McElhinney, PA, Commandeur, F, Chen, X, Cadet, S, Goeller, M, Razipour, A, Gransar, H, Cantu, S, Miller, RJH, et al
Circulation. Cardiovascular imaging. 2020;(2):e009829
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BACKGROUND Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume (cm3) and attenuation (Hounsfield units) may predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of fully automated deep learning-based EAT volume and attenuation measurements quantified from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography. METHODS Our study included 2068 asymptomatic subjects (56±9 years, 59% male) from the EISNER trial (Early Identification of Subclinical Atherosclerosis by Noninvasive Imaging Research) with long-term follow-up after coronary artery calcium measurement. EAT volume and mean attenuation were quantified using automated deep learning software from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, late (>180 days) revascularization, and cardiac death. EAT measures were compared to coronary artery calcium score and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score for MACE prediction. RESULTS At 14±3 years, 223 subjects suffered MACE. Increased EAT volume and decreased EAT attenuation were both independently associated with MACE. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score, coronary artery calcium, and EAT volume were associated with increased risk of MACE (hazard ratio [95%CI]: 1.03 [1.01-1.04]; 1.25 [1.19-1.30]; and 1.35 [1.07-1.68], P<0.01 for all) and EAT attenuation was inversely associated with MACE (hazard ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.72-0.96]; P=0.01), with corresponding Harrell C statistic of 0.76. MACE risk progressively increased with EAT volume ≥113 cm3 and coronary artery calcium ≥100 AU and was highest in subjects with both (P<0.02 for all). In 1317 subjects, EAT volume was correlated with inflammatory biomarkers C-reactive protein, myeloperoxidase, and adiponectin reduction; EAT attenuation was inversely related to these biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS Fully automated EAT volume and attenuation quantification by deep learning from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography can provide prognostic value for the asymptomatic patient, without additional imaging or physician interaction.
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The prognostic value of early onset, CT derived loss of muscle and adipose tissue during chemotherapy in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer.
Degens, JHRJ, Sanders, KJC, de Jong, EEC, Groen, HJM, Smit, EF, Aerts, JG, Schols, AMWJ, Dingemans, AC
Lung cancer (Amsterdam, Netherlands). 2019;:130-135
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To evaluate the relationship between early changes in muscle and adipose tissue during chemotherapy and overall survival (OS) in stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). MATERIALS AND METHODS In this post-hoc analysis of the first line NVALT12 trial (NCT01171170) in stage IV NSCLC, skeletal muscle (SM), radiation attenuation (RA), subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) were assessed at the third lumbar level on CT-images obtained before initiation of chemotherapy and shortly after administration of the second cycle. The contribution of changes in different body compartments to overall survival was assessed. RESULTS CT scans of 111 patients were included. Analysis of body composition changes between the baseline and the follow-up scan, revealed that overall SM cross sectional area (CSA), radiation attenuation and SAT CSA decreased respectively by -1.2 ± 2.9 cm2/m2 (p < 0.001), -0.7 ± 3.3 HU (p = 0.026) and -1.9 ± 8.7 cm2/m2 (p = 0.026), while no significant changes in VAT tissue were observed. Longitudinally, median OS was significantly shorter among patients losing SM compared to patients with preserved SM (9.4 versus 14.2 months; HR 1.9, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.79, p = 0.003). Multivariate analyses showed that proportional loss of muscle mass was associated with poor OS (HR 0.949, 95% CI: 0.915, 0.985, p = 0.006) independent from important clinical prognostic factors including WHO-PS, gender, age and Charlson comorbidity index. CONCLUSION Early loss of SM during first line chemotherapy is a poor prognostic factor in stage IV NSCLC patients. Future studies have to reveal whether early supportive intervention guided by initial CT muscle response to chemotherapy can influence the wasting process and related mortality risk.
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Can radiomics help to predict skeletal muscle response to chemotherapy in stage IV non-small cell lung cancer?
de Jong, EEC, Sanders, KJC, Deist, TM, van Elmpt, W, Jochems, A, van Timmeren, JE, Leijenaar, RTH, Degens, JHRJ, Schols, AMWJ, Dingemans, AC, et al
European journal of cancer (Oxford, England : 1990). 2019;:107-113
Abstract
BACKGROUND Muscle depletion negatively impacts treatment efficacy and survival rates in cancer. Prevention and timely treatment of muscle loss require prediction of patients at risk. We aimed to investigate the potential of skeletal muscle radiomic features to predict future muscle loss. METHODS A total of 116 patients with stage IV non-small cell lung cancer included in a randomised controlled trial (NCT01171170) studying the effect of nitroglycerin added to paclitaxel-carboplatin-bevacizumab were enrolled. In this post hoc analysis, muscle cross-sectional area and radiomic features were extracted from computed tomography images obtained before initiation of chemotherapy and shortly after administration of the second cycle. For internal cross-validation, the cohort was randomly split in a training set and validation set 100 times. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method to select features that were most significantly associated with muscle loss and an area under the curve (AUC) for model performance. RESULTS Sixty-nine patients (59%) exhibited loss of skeletal muscle. One hundred ninety-three features were used to construct a prediction model for muscle loss. The average AUC was 0.49 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.36, 0.62). Differences in intensity and texture radiomic features over time were seen between patients with and without muscle loss. CONCLUSIONS The present study shows that skeletal muscle radiomics did not predict future muscle loss during chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer. Differences in radiomic features over time might reflect myosteatosis. Future imaging analysis combined with muscle tissue analysis in patients and in experimental models is needed to unravel the biological processes linked to the radiomic features.
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Prognostic value of radiologically enlarged lymph nodes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: Subgroup findings of the randomized, open-label FIRE-3/AIO KRK0306 trial.
Hofmann, FO, Holch, JW, Heinemann, V, Ricard, I, Reiser, MF, Baumann, AB, Hesse, N, D'Anastasi, M, Modest, DP, Stintzing, S, et al
European journal of radiology. 2018;:124-129
Abstract
PURPOSE To determine the prognostic impact of radiologically enlarged lymph nodes ≥ 10 mm on the survival of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS The prospective, randomized, open-label FIRE-3/AIO KRK0306 trial evaluated the first-line therapy of patients with KRAS exon 2 wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer with fluorouracil, folinic acid and irinotecan plus either cetuximab or bevacizumab. In the RAS wild-type population (n = 400), adequately evaluable baseline computed tomographies (n = 339) were reviewed for enlarged regional and distant lymph nodes. Their prognostic relevance was retrospectively analyzed in uni- and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regressions. RESULTS Median overall survival was 21.7 months in patients with enlarged lymph nodes and 33.2 months in patients without (hazard rate ratio [HR] = 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-2.09; P < 0.001). This was confirmed in multivariable analysis (HR = 1.37, 95% CI, 1.02-1.83; P = 0.036). Progression-free survival of patients with enlarged lymph nodes showed a consistent but insignificant trend (9.9 vs. 11.1 months; HR = 1.23, 95% CI, 0.98-1.54; P = 0.072). Enlarged lymph nodes were also associated with BRAF-mutations (P = 0.004). CONCLUSION The presence of radiologically enlarged lymph nodes in baseline staging has a negative prognostic value beyond established and potential prognostic parameters.
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Efficacy and safety of a balanced salt solution versus a 0.9% saline infusion for the prevention of contrast-induced acute kidney injury (BASIC trial): a study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.
Jo, HA, Park, S, Kim, CD, Jung, HY, Cho, JH, Cha, RH, Kang, EW, Chang, TI, Kim, S, Kim, HJ, et al
Trials. 2017;(1):461
Abstract
BACKGROUND Contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) is one of the most common causes of iatrogenic kidney injury and, therefore, its prevention is an important issue. However, whether the administration of 0.9% saline is the optimal prophylaxis method remains uncertain due to its supra-physiologic chloride component. In particular, recent studies suggest that chloride-restricted solutions showed superiority over 0.9% saline in several clinical settings. METHODS/DESIGN The investigators designed a multicenter randomized controlled trial to compare the efficacy of a balanced salt solution and 0.9% saline in CI-AKI prophylaxis. This study will recruit patients who are scheduled for contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) scans with CI-AKI prophylaxis. In this study, participants will be randomized into two study arms; the study group will receive a balanced salt solution, and the control group will receive 0.9% saline. Fluids will be administered as designated in the protocol before and after the CT scan, and an evaluation of baseline clinical status will be performed by obtaining blood and urine samples. During the follow-up visits, the incidence of CI-AKI and long-term outcomes, including the start of renal replacement therapy or all-cause mortality, will be assessed. DISCUSSION To our knowledge, this study will be the first study assessing the preventive value of a balanced salt solution over 0.9% saline for CI-AKI. If the trial shows that the balanced salt solution is as effective for CI-AKI prophylaxis as 0.9% saline, the use of the balanced salt solution could be promoted due to the reduced possibility of consequent metabolic acidosis compared to 0.9% saline. TRIALS REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02799368 . Registered on 14 June 2016.
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Prognostic Value of Coronary Computed Tomography Imaging in Patients at High Risk Without Symptoms of Coronary Artery Disease.
Dedic, A, Ten Kate, GJ, Roos, CJ, Neefjes, LA, de Graaf, MA, Spronk, A, Delgado, V, van Lennep, JE, Moelker, A, Ouhlous, M, et al
The American journal of cardiology. 2016;(5):768-74
Abstract
At present, traditional risk factors are used to guide cardiovascular management of asymptomatic subjects. Intensified surveillance may be warranted in those identified as high risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aims to determine the prognostic value of coronary computed tomography (CT) angiography (CCTA) next to the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in patients at high CVD risk without symptoms suspect for coronary artery disease (CAD). A total of 665 patients at high risk (mean age 56 ± 9 years, 417 men), having at least one important CVD risk factor (diabetes mellitus, familial hypercholesterolemia, peripheral artery disease, or severe hypertension) or a calculated European systematic coronary risk evaluation of >10% were included from outpatient clinics at 2 academic centers. Follow-up was performed for the occurrence of adverse events including all-cause mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina, or coronary revascularization. During a median follow-up of 3.0 (interquartile range 1.3 to 4.1) years, adverse events occurred in 40 subjects (6.0%). By multivariate analysis, adjusted for age, gender, and CACS, obstructive CAD on CCTA (≥50% luminal stenosis) was a significant predictor of adverse events (hazard ratio 5.9 [CI 1.3 to 26.1]). Addition of CCTA to age, gender, plus CACS, increased the C statistic from 0.81 to 0.84 and resulted in a total net reclassification index of 0.19 (p <0.01). In conclusion, CCTA has incremental prognostic value and risk reclassification benefit beyond CACS in patients without CAD symptoms but with high risk of developing CVD.
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Quality-of-Life and Economic Outcomes of Assessing Fractional Flow Reserve With Computed Tomography Angiography: PLATFORM.
Hlatky, MA, De Bruyne, B, Pontone, G, Patel, MR, Norgaard, BL, Byrne, RA, Curzen, N, Purcell, I, Gutberlet, M, Rioufol, G, et al
Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2015;(21):2315-2323
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fractional flow reserve estimated using computed tomography (FFRCT) might improve evaluation of patients with chest pain. OBJECTIVES The authors sought to determine the effect on cost and quality of life (QOL) of using FFRCT instead of usual care to evaluate stable patients with symptoms suspicious for coronary disease. METHODS Symptomatic patients without known coronary disease were enrolled into 2 strata based on whether invasive or noninvasive diagnostic testing was planned. In each stratum, consecutive observational cohorts were evaluated with either usual care or FFRCT. The number of diagnostic tests, invasive procedures, hospitalizations, and medications during 90-day follow-up were multiplied by U.S. cost weights and summed to derive total medical costs. Changes in QOL from baseline to 90 days were assessed using the Seattle Angina Questionnaire, the EuroQOL, and a visual analog scale. RESULTS In the 584 patients, 74% had atypical angina, and the pre-test probability of coronary disease was 49%. In the planned invasive stratum, mean costs were 32% lower among the FFRCT patients than among the usual care patients ($7,343 vs. $10,734 p < 0.0001). In the noninvasive stratum, mean costs were not significantly different between the FFRCT patients and the usual care patients ($2,679 vs. $2,137; p = 0.26). In a sensitivity analysis, when the cost weight of FFRCT was set to 7 times that of computed tomography angiography, the FFRCT group still had lower costs than the usual care group in the invasive testing stratum ($8,619 vs. $ 10,734; p < 0.0001), whereas in the noninvasive testing stratum, when the cost weight of FFRCT was set to one-half that of computed tomography angiography, the FFRCT group had higher costs than the usual care group ($2,766 vs. $2,137; p = 0.02). Each QOL score improved in the overall study population (p < 0.0001). In the noninvasive stratum, QOL scores improved more in FFRCT patients than in usual care patients: Seattle Angina Questionnaire 19.5 versus 11.4, p = 0.003; EuroQOL 0.08 versus 0.03, p = 0.002; and visual analog scale 4.1 versus 2.3, p = 0.82. In the invasive cohort, the improvements in QOL were similar in the FFRCT and usual care patients. CONCLUSIONS An evaluation strategy based on FFRCT was associated with less resource use and lower costs within 90 days than evaluation with invasive coronary angiography. Evaluation with FFRCT was associated with greater improvement in quality of life than evaluation with usual noninvasive testing. (Prospective Longitudinal Trial of FFRCT Outcomes and Resource Impacts [PLATFORM]; NCT01943903).