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Different combinations of the GLIM criteria for patients awaiting a liver transplant: Poor performance for malnutrition diagnosis but a potentially useful prognostic tool.
Santos, BC, Fonseca, ALF, Ferreira, LG, Ribeiro, HS, Correia, MITD, Lima, AS, Penna, FGCE, Anastácio, LR
Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland). 2022;(1):97-104
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Studies using the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria for patients with liver cirrhosis are limited. This study aimed to assess the impact of malnutrition according to the GLIM criteria on the outcomes of patients awaiting a liver transplant (LTx) and compare these criteria with Subjective Global Assessment (SGA). METHODS This retrospective observational study included adult patients awaiting LTx. Patient clinical data, nutritional status according to various tools including SGA, and resting energy expenditure were assessed. The distinct phenotypic and etiologic criteria provided 36 different GLIM combinations. The GLIM criteria and SGA were compared using the kappa coefficient. The variables associated with mortality before and after the LTx and with a longer length of stay (LOS) after LTx (≥18 days) were assessed by Cox regression and logistic regression analyses, respectively. RESULTS A total of 152 patients were included [median age 52.0 (interquartile range: 46.5-59.5) years; 66.4% men; 63.2% malnourished according to SGA]. The prevalence of malnutrition according to the GLIM criteria ranged from 0.7% to 30.9%. The majority of the GLIM combinations exhibited poor agreement with SGA. Independent predictors of mortality before and after LTx were presence of ascites or edema (p = 0.011; HR:2.58; CI95%:1.24-5.36), GLIM 32 (PA-phase angle + MELD) (p = 0.026; HR:2.08; CI95%:1.09-3.97), GLIM 33 (PA + MELD-Na≥12) (p = 0.018; HR:2.17; CI95%:1.14-4.13), and GLIM 34 (PA + Child-Pugh) (p = 0.043; HR:1.96; CI95%:1.02-3.77). Malnutrition according to GLIM 28 (handgrip strength + Child-Pugh) was independently associated with a longer LOS (p = 0.029; OR:7.21; CI95%:1.22-42.50). CONCLUSION The majority of GLIM combinations had poor agreement with SGA, and 4 of the 36 GLIM combinations were independently associated with adverse outcomes.
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A prediction rule for severe adverse events in all inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia: a multicenter observational study.
Sakakibara, T, Shindo, Y, Kobayashi, D, Sano, M, Okumura, J, Murakami, Y, Takahashi, K, Matsui, S, Yagi, T, Saka, H, et al
BMC pulmonary medicine. 2022;(1):34
Abstract
BACKGROUND Prediction of inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) at high risk for severe adverse events (SAEs) requiring higher-intensity treatment is critical. However, evidence regarding prediction rules applicable to all patients with CAP including those with healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP) is limited. The objective of this study is to develop and validate a new prediction system for SAEs in inpatients with CAP. METHODS Logistic regression analysis was performed in 1334 inpatients of a prospective multicenter study to develop a multivariate model predicting SAEs (death, requirement of mechanical ventilation, and vasopressor support within 30 days after diagnosis). The developed ALL-COP-SCORE rule based on the multivariate model was validated in 643 inpatients in another prospective multicenter study. RESULTS The ALL-COP SCORE rule included albumin (< 2 g/dL, 2 points; 2-3 g/dL, 1 point), white blood cell (< 4000 cells/μL, 3 points), chronic lung disease (1 point), confusion (2 points), PaO2/FIO2 ratio (< 200 mmHg, 3 points; 200-300 mmHg, 1 point), potassium (≥ 5.0 mEq/L, 2 points), arterial pH (< 7.35, 2 points), systolic blood pressure (< 90 mmHg, 2 points), PaCO2 (> 45 mmHg, 2 points), HCO3- (< 20 mmol/L, 1 point), respiratory rate (≥ 30 breaths/min, 1 point), pleural effusion (1 point), and extent of chest radiographical infiltration in unilateral lung (> 2/3, 2 points; 1/2-2/3, 1 point). Patients with 4-5, 6-7, and ≥ 8 points had 17%, 35%, and 52% increase in the probability of SAEs, respectively, whereas the probability of SAEs was 3% in patients with ≤ 3 points. The ALL-COP SCORE rule exhibited a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.85) compared with the other predictive models, and an ALL-COP SCORE threshold of ≥ 4 points exhibited 92% sensitivity and 60% specificity. CONCLUSIONS ALL-COP SCORE rule can be useful to predict SAEs and aid in decision-making on treatment intensity for all inpatients with CAP including those with HCAP. Higher-intensity treatment should be considered in patients with CAP and an ALL-COP SCORE threshold of ≥ 4 points. TRIAL REGISTRATION This study was registered with the University Medical Information Network in Japan, registration numbers UMIN000003306 and UMIN000009837.
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Factors associated with heart failure hospitalization in patients with high sodium excretion: subanalysis of the ESPRIT, evaluation of sodium intake for the prediction of cardiovascular events in Japanese high-risk patients, cohort study.
Sadanaga, T, Hirota, S, Mitamura, H
Heart and vessels. 2021;(1):85-91
Abstract
We have reported that high sodium excretion ≥ 4.0 g/day, assessed by repeated measurements of spot urine, is associated with composite cardiovascular (CV) events of heart failure (HF) hospitalization, acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular events, and documented CV deaths in Japanese high-risk patients with either stable and compensated congestive HF, high brain natriuretic peptide, coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, or atrial fibrillation. A total of 520 patients were enrolled. During the median follow-up period of 5.2 years, 105 (20%) experienced composite CV events, which were predominantly driven by 60 (12%) HF hospitalizations. The aim of the present study was to elucidate which subgroups of patients with high sodium excretion were associated with HF hospitalization. We divided the enrolled patients into three groups according to the amount of sodium excretion (< 3.0 g/day, 3.0-3.99 g/day (reference), and ≥ 4.0 g/day) based on a median of 14 measurements during follow-up. We assessed the hazard ratio for HF hospitalization according to age, bodyweight, and gender, using the Cox hazard model. In the total population, high sodium excretion ≥ 4.0 g/day was associated with HF hospitalization [hazard ratio (HR) 1.75, confidence interval (CI) 1.05-2.83] after adjustment for gender, age, and bodyweight, but was not associated with other CV events. In older patients (≥ 75 years old), high sodium excretion ≥ 4.0 g/day was associated with HF hospitalization after adjustment for gender and bodyweight (HR 3.25, CI 1.55-6.55), which was not observed in younger (< 75 years old) patients. In patients with lower bodyweight (< 60 kg), high sodium excretion ≥ 4.0 g/day was associated with HF hospitalization after adjustment for age and gender (HR 3.05, CI 1.34-6.61), which was not observed in heavier (≥ 60 kg) patients. High sodium excretion is associated with HF hospitalization in patients with older age and lower bodyweight in Japanese high-risk patients.
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Sex disparities and adverse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease: results from the KNOW-CKD.
Jung, CY, Heo, GY, Park, JT, Joo, YS, Kim, HW, Lim, H, Chang, TI, Kang, EW, Yoo, TH, Kang, SW, et al
Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society. 2021;(7):1116-1127
Abstract
AIMS: Longitudinal studies of the association between sex and adverse clinical outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are scarce. We assessed whether major outcomes may differ by sex among CKD patients. METHODS We analyzed a total of 1780 participants with non-dialysis CKD G1-5 from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD). The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal cardiovascular events or all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and a composite kidney outcome of ≥ 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or the onset of end-stage kidney disease. RESULTS There were 1088 (61%) men and 692 (39%) women in the study cohort. The proportion of smokers was significantly higher in men (24% vs. 3%). During 8430 person-years of follow-up, 201 primary outcome events occurred: 144 (13%) in men and 57 (8%) in women, with corresponding incidence rates of 2.9 and 1.7 per 100 person-years, respectively. In multivariable Cox models, men were associated with a 1.58-fold (95% CI 1.06-2.35) higher risk of composite outcome. Propensity score matching analysis revealed similar findings (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.14-2.91). Risk of all-cause mortality was significantly higher in men of the matched cohort. However, there was no difference in the risk of CKD progression. In the subgroup with coronary artery calcium (CAC) measurements, men had a higher likelihood of CAC progression. CONCLUSIONS In Korean CKD patients, men were more likely to experience adverse cardiovascular events and death than women.
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Body composition parameters and functional status test in predicting future acute exacerbation risk among hospitalized patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Karanikas, I, Karayiannis, D, Karachaliou, A, Papanikolaou, A, Chourdakis, M, Kakavas, S
Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland). 2021;(11):5605-5614
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Nutritional and functional status derangement is a commonly seen in COPD patients, and this is associated with a higher disease severity and mortality. To assess body composition analysis - measured by segmental multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA)- and functional status and investigate their relationship with the COPD acute exacerbation risk. METHODS Eighty COPD patients admitted to hospital for COPD acute exacerbation were prospectively followed-up for one year after discharge, focusing on a new incidence of COPD acute exacerbation. Following discharge, participants' body composition was assessed with the use of segmental multi-frequency BIA, whereas physical function by performing 5-repetitions and 30 s sit-to-stand (STS) tests. Unadjusted and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of the various measures to predict incidence of future COPD acute exacerbation in one-year period. RESULTS Seventy-six out of 80 participants completed the study and were analyzed. Fifty-one [24 male (47.1%)] out of 76 participants (67.1%), mean aged of 69.3 ± 8.9 years, developed at least one new COPD acute exacerbation during the one year follow-up. The probability of COPD acute exacerbation in one year was significantly related to BMI (OR = 0.75, 95% CI; 0.61-0.91, p = 0.004) and Fat Free Mass (OR = 0.88, 95% CI; 0.79-0.97, p = 0.012) after adjustment for sex, age and smoking index (pack × years). Both 5-repetitions and 30 s STS tests had a good predictive ability for the incidence of COPD acute exacerbation in one year (AUC = 0.80, 95% CI; 0.65-0.95, p = 0.009 and AUC = 0.83, 95% CI; 0.70-0.96, p = 0.004, respectively). CONCLUSION In an observational study among patients admitted with COPD acute exacerbation, body composition analysis parameters and functional status are related to acute exacerbation risk incidence.
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Hip fractures in elderly patients with non-dialysis dependent chronic kidney disease: Outcomes in a Southeast Asian population.
Roy, D, Pande, S, Thalanki, S, Yeon, W, Prasad, A, Lau, A, Varman, S, Carson, JA
Medicine. 2021;(27):e26625
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Abstract
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) causes bone and mineral disorders and alterations in vitamin D metabolism that contribute to greater skeletal fragility. Hip fracture in elderly is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the outcome of elderly patients with non-dialysis dependent CKD and hip fracture undergoing surgery.Retrospective study with IRB approval of patients above 65 years of age, with hip fractures admitted between June 2014 to June 2016 in a Southeast Asian cohort. Data collected included demographic variables and the haematological and biochemical parameters HBA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), serum calcium, phosphorous, and 25(OH) Vitamin D. Co-morbidities investigated were ischemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, malignancy, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cerebro vascular accident, hypertension and hyperlipidaemia. All patients were followed up from index date to either death or June 1, 2018.Of the 883 patients, 725 underwent surgery and 334 had CKD. Death rates for CKD patients with hip fractures and those with normal renal function did not differ significantly [8.08% vs 6.54%, (HR= 1.33, 95% CI: 0.95, 1.86; P = .102)], whilst median hospital length of stay was significantly higher in CKD patients [10.5 vs 9.03 days (P = .003)]. Significant risk factors associated with higher risk of mortality in the elderly with hip fracture were male gender, age ≥80 years and serum albumin < 30 g/L (all, P < .0001).In summary, in elderly, non-dialysis dependent CKD patient with hip fracture we found that male gender, age ≥80 years, low serum albumin and eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 were associated with higher risk of death. The hospital stay in the CKD group was also longer. Additional studies are needed to validate our findings.
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Derivation of a Coronary Age Calculator Using Traditional Risk Factors and Coronary Artery Calcium: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.
Blaha, MJ, Naazie, IN, Cainzos-Achirica, M, Dardari, ZA, DeFilippis, AP, McClelland, RL, Mirbolouk, M, Orimoloye, OA, Dzaye, O, Nasir, K, et al
Journal of the American Heart Association. 2021;(6):e019351
Abstract
Background The optimal method for communicating coronary heart disease (CHD) risk to individual patients is not yet clear. Recent research supports the concept of "coronary age" for more effective risk communication. We defined an individual's coronary age as the age at which an average healthy individual would have an equivalent estimated CHD risk as that calculated for the index individual, building on our previously validated MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) 10-year CHD Risk Score equations with and without coronary artery calcium (CAC). Methods and Results We derived a coronary age by (1) calculating the MESA 10-year CHD risk; (2) mathematically setting this equal to an equation describing risk of an average healthy MESA participant, as a function of age; and (3) solving for age. The risk discrimination of the resultant coronary age was compared with that of chronological age, the MESA CHD Risk Score, and CAC alone. Approximately 95% of coronary age values ranged from 30 years less to 30 years higher than chronological age. Although the mean chronological age of individuals experiencing CHD events compared with those free of events was 67.4 versus 61.8 years, the difference in coronary age including CAC was larger (80.6 versus 62.8 years). Coronary age with CAC had identical predictive ability to that of MESA CHD Risk Score and outperformed chronological age and CAC alone. Conclusions The newly derived coronary age is a convenient transformation of MESA CHD Risk, retaining very good risk discrimination. This easy-to-communicate tool will be available for patients and clinicians, potentially facilitating risk communication in routine care.
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A nomogram incorporated lifestyle indicators for predicting nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.
Peng, K, Wang, S, Gao, L, You, H
Medicine. 2021;(26):e26415
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Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease, and its pathogenesis is complicated and triggered by unbalanced diet, sedentary lifestyle, and genetic background. The aim of this study was to construct and validate a nomogram incorporated lifestyle habits for predicting NAFLD incidence.The overall cohort was divided into training set and test set as using computer-generated random numbers. We constructed the nomogram by multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training set. Thereafter, we validated this model by concordance index, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), net reclassification index, and a calibration curve in the test set. Additionally, we also evaluated the clinical usefulness of the nomogram by decision curve analysis.There were no statistically significant differences about characteristics between training cohort (n = 748) and test cohort (n = 320). Eleven features (age, sex, body mass index, drinking tea, physical exercise, energy, monounsaturated fatty acids, polyunsaturated fatty acids, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes) were incorporated to construct the nomogram, concordance index, the area under the ROC curve, net reclassification index were 0.801, 0.801, and 0.084, respectively, indicating the nomogram have good discrimination of predicting NAFLD incidence. Also, the calibration curve showed good consistency between nomogram prediction and actual probability. Moreover, the decision curve showed that when the threshold probability of an individual is within a range from approximately 0.5 to 0.8, this model provided more net benefit to predict NAFLD incidence risk than the current strategies.This nomogram can be regarded as a user-friendly tool for assessing the risk of NAFLD incidence, and thus help to facilitate management of NAFLD including lifestyle and medical interventions.
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Biomarker-Based Risk Prediction of Alzheimer's Disease Dementia in Mild Cognitive Impairment: Psychosocial, Ethical, and Legal Aspects.
Rostamzadeh, A, Schwegler, C, Gil-Navarro, S, Rosende-Roca, M, Romotzky, V, Ortega, G, Canabate, P, Moreno, M, Schmitz-Luhn, B, Boada, M, et al
Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD. 2021;(2):601-617
Abstract
BACKGROUND Today, a growing number of individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) wish to assess their risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia. The expectations as well as the effects on quality of life (QoL) in MCI patients and their close others through biomarker-based dementia risk estimation are not well studied. OBJECTIVE The PreDADQoL project aims at providing empirical data on effects of such prediction on QoL and at developing an ethical and legal framework of biomarker-based dementia risk estimation in MCI. METHODS In the empirical study, 100 MCI-patients and their close others will be recruited from two sites (Germany and Spain). They receive standardized counselling on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarker-based prediction of AD dementia and a risk disclosure based on their AD biomarker status. A mixed methods approach will be applied to assess outcomes. RESULTS The pilot-study yielded a specification of the research topics and newly developed questionnaires for the main assessment. Within this binational quantitative and qualitative study, data on attitudes and expectations toward AD risk prediction, QoL, risk communication, coping strategies, mental health, lifestyle changes, and healthcare resource utilization will be obtained. Together with the normative part of the project, an empirically informed ethical and legal framework for biomarker-based dementia risk estimation will be developed. CONCLUSION The empirical research of the PreDADQoL study together with the ethical and legal considerations and implications will help to improve the process of counselling and risk disclosure and thereby positively affect QoL and health of MCI-patients and their close others in the context of biomarker-based dementia risk estimation.
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Contemporary Management of Severe Symptomatic Aortic Stenosis.
Eugène, M, Duchnowski, P, Prendergast, B, Wendler, O, Laroche, C, Monin, JL, Jobic, Y, Popescu, BA, Bax, JJ, Vahanian, A, et al
Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2021;(22):2131-2143
Abstract
BACKGROUND There were gaps between guidelines and practice when surgery was the only treatment for aortic stenosis (AS). OBJECTIVES This study analyzed the decision to intervene in patients with severe AS in the EORP VHD (EURObservational Research Programme Valvular Heart Disease) II survey. METHODS Among 2,152 patients with severe AS, 1,271 patients with high-gradient AS who were symptomatic fulfilled a Class I recommendation for intervention according to the 2012 European Society of Cardiology guidelines; the primary end point was the decision for intervention. RESULTS A decision not to intervene was taken in 262 patients (20.6%). In multivariate analysis, the decision not to intervene was associated with older age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.34 per 10-year increase; 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.61; P = 0.002), New York Heart Association functional classes I and II versus III (OR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.16 to 2.30; P = 0.005), higher age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (OR: 1.09 per 1-point increase; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.17; P = 0.03), and a lower transaortic mean gradient (OR: 0.81 per 10-mm Hg decrease; 95% CI: 0.71 to 0.92; P < 0.001). During the study period, 346 patients (40.2%, median age 84 years, median EuroSCORE II [European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II] 3.1%) underwent transcatheter intervention and 515 (59.8%, median age 69 years, median EuroSCORE II 1.5%) underwent surgery. A decision not to intervene versus intervention was associated with lower 6-month survival (87.4%; 95% CI: 82.0 to 91.3 vs 94.6%; 95% CI: 92.8 to 95.9; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS A decision not to intervene was taken in 1 in 5 patients with severe symptomatic AS despite a Class I recommendation for intervention and the decision was particularly associated with older age and combined comorbidities. Transcatheter intervention was extensively used in octogenarians.