-
1.
Are exposure-disease relationships assessed in cohorts of health professionals generalizable?: a comparative analysis based on WCRF/AICR systematic literature reviews.
Wang, P, Giovannucci, EL
Cancer causes & control : CCC. 2023;(1):39-45
Abstract
PURPOSE Although cohorts of health professionals are not representative of the general US population, the generalizability of exposure-disease relationships identified in these cohorts has not been extensively evaluated. Our objective was to compare the associations of risk factors with cancer risk obtained in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS), Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII), and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS) with those from meta-analyses of cohort studies. METHODS Data were extracted from the most recent systematic literature reviews conducted by the World Cancer Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR). We examined risk factors with "convincing," "probable," or "limited-suggestive" evidence for 17 cancer types. Cohort-specific results for NHS, NHSII, and HPFS and corresponding sex-specific pooled meta-analysis results were obtained when available. We compared associations for continuous variables and inspected potential non-linearity in the dose-response meta-analyses. RESULTS Data for 88 comparisons across 11 cancer types were available. For most risk factors, we observed a close resemblance between the cohort-specific and corresponding sex-specific pooled associations. The 45 comparisons for factors considered as "convincing" or "probable" invariably exhibited similar associations in direction and magnitude. In 44 of the 45, the 95% CI from the NHS, NHSII, or HPFS captured the pooled estimate. In the one exception, the difference was 0.01. CONCLUSION The NHS, NHSII, and HPFS studies are not representative of the general US population concerning sociodemographic and behavioral factors. However, the generalizability of the exposure-disease relationship assessed in these cohorts is not impaired by these factors.
-
2.
Field Synopsis of Environmental and Genetic Risk Factors of Sporadic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer and Advanced Adenoma.
Zhang, R, Boakye, D, Yang, N, Zhou, X, Zhou, Y, Jiang, F, Yu, L, Wang, L, Sun, J, Yuan, S, et al
Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology. 2023;(8):1048-1060
Abstract
BACKGROUND To systematically appraise and synthesize available epidemiologic evidence on the associations of environmental and genetic factors with the risk of sporadic early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) and early-onset advanced colorectal adenoma (EOCRA). METHODS Multiple databases were comprehensively searched to identify eligible observational studies. Genotype data from UK Biobank were incorporated to examine their associations with EOCRC in a nested case-control design. Meta-analyses of environmental risk factors were performed, and the strength of evidence was graded based on predefined criteria. Meta-analyses of genetic associations were conducted using the allelic, recessive, and dominant models, respectively. RESULTS A total of 61 studies were included, reporting 120 environmental factors and 62 genetic variants. We found 12 risk factors (current overweight, overweight in adolescence, high waist circumference, smoking, alcohol, sugary beverages intake, sedentary behavior, red meat intake, family history of colorectal cancer, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and metabolic syndrome) and three protective factors (vitamin D, folate, and calcium intake) for EOCRC or EOCRA. No significant associations between the examined genetic variants and EOCRC risk were observed. CONCLUSIONS Recent data indicate that the changing patterns of traditional colorectal cancer risk factors may explain the rising incidence of EOCRC. However, research on novel risk factors for EOCRC is limited; therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of EOCRC having different risk factors than late-onset colorectal cancer (LOCRC). IMPACT The potential for the identified risk factors to enhance the identification of at-risk groups for personalized EOCRC screening and prevention and for the prediction of EOCRC risk should be comprehensively addressed by future studies.
-
3.
Postdiagnosis recreational physical activity and breast cancer prognosis: Global Cancer Update Programme (CUP Global) systematic literature review and meta-analysis.
Cariolou, M, Abar, L, Aune, D, Balducci, K, Becerra-Tomás, N, Greenwood, DC, Markozannes, G, Nanu, N, Vieira, R, Giovannucci, EL, et al
International journal of cancer. 2023;(4):600-615
-
-
Free full text
-
Abstract
It is important to clarify the associations between modifiable lifestyle factors such as physical activity and breast cancer prognosis to enable the development of evidence-based survivorship recommendations. We performed a systematic review and meta-analyses to summarise the evidence on the relationship between postbreast cancer diagnosis physical activity and mortality, recurrence and second primary cancers. We searched PubMed and Embase through 31st October 2021 and included 20 observational studies and three follow-up observational analyses of patients enrolled in clinical trials. In linear dose-response meta-analysis of the observational studies, each 10-unit increase in metabolic equivalent of task (MET)-h/week higher recreational physical activity was associated with 15% and 14% lower risk of all-cause (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8%-22%, studies = 12, deaths = 3670) and breast cancer-specific mortality (95% CI: 4%-23%, studies = 11, deaths = 1632), respectively. Recreational physical activity was not associated with breast cancer recurrence (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.91-1.05, studies = 6, deaths = 1705). Nonlinear dose-response meta-analyses indicated 48% lower all-cause and 38% lower breast cancer-specific mortality with increasing recreational physical activity up to 20 MET-h/week, but little further reduction in risk at higher levels. Predefined subgroup analyses across strata of body mass index, hormone receptors, adjustment for confounders, number of deaths, menopause and physical activity intensities were consistent in direction and magnitude to the main analyses. Considering the methodological limitations of the included studies, the independent Expert Panel concluded 'limited-suggestive' likelihood of causality for an association between recreational physical activity and lower risk of all-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality.
-
4.
Association of gallstone disease with risk of colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.
Polychronidis, G, Siddiqi, H, Ali Ahmed, F, Papatheodorou, S, Giovannucci, EL, Song, M
International journal of epidemiology. 2023;(5):1424-1434
Abstract
BACKGROUND Numerous studies have assessed the association of gallstones or cholecystectomy (CE) with risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the findings are mixed. OBJECTIVE To systematically review and meta-analyse the association between the presence of gallstone disease (GD), or CE and the incidence of CRC. Secondary endpoints were the risk based on type of exposure, study design, tumour subsites and sex. METHODS PubMed and EMBASE were searched from September 2020 to May 2021. The protocol was registered on the Open Science Foundation Platform. We identified and classified studies according to their design into prospective cohort, population-based case-control, hospital-based case-control and necropsy studies reporting CRC incidence among individuals with diagnosed GD or after CE (or both). Among 2157 retrieved studies, 65 (3%) met the inclusion criteria. We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers. We evaluated the quality of the study according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and only studies with a score of 6 and above were included in the final analyses. We pooled log-transformed odds ratios/risk ratios from the available adjusted models to estimate a summary relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in a random-effects model. The primary outcome was overall CRC incidence. We also conducted secondary analyses according to sex and CRC subsites (proximal colon, distal colon and rectum). The outcome was measured by RRs with 95% CIs. RESULTS The overall association of GD and/or CE with CRC was RR = 1.15 (1.08; 1.24), primarily driven by hospital-based case-control studies [RR = 1.61 (1.29; 2.01)], whereas a more modest association was found in population-based case-control and cohort studies [RR = 1.10 (1.02; 1.19)]. Most hospital-based case-control and necropsy studies reported estimates that were adjusted for age and sex only, leaving room for residual confounding; therefore we restricted to population-based case-control and cohort studies for our subsequent analyses. Similar associations were found for women [RR = 1.21 (1.05; 1.4) and men (RR = 1.24 (1.06; 1.44)]. When assessed by CRC subsites, GD and CE were primarily associated with higher risk of proximal colon cancer [RR = 1.16 (1.07; 1.26)] but not distal colon cancer [RR = 0.99 (0.96; 1.03)] or rectal cancer [RR = 0.94 (0.89; 1.00)]. CONCLUSIONS Gallstones are associated with a modestly increased risk of colon cancer, primarily in the proximal colon.
-
5.
Overall and abdominal obesity and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Korean adults: a pooled analysis of three population-based prospective cohorts.
Jang, H, Kim, R, Lee, JT, Lee, DH, Giovannucci, EL, Oh, H
International journal of epidemiology. 2023;(4):1060-1073
Abstract
BACKGROUND Studies found a J-shaped association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality. However, it is unclear whether the association is driven by biases, particularly confounding by fat-free mass. METHODS We conducted an individual-level pooled analysis of three cohorts of Korean adults (aged ≥ 40 years; n = 153 248). Mortality was followed up through December 2019. Anthropometric data were directly measured at baseline. Fat and fat-free mass were predicted using validated prediction models. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated the associations of BMI and waist circumference (WC) with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. To account for biases, we excluded participants aged ≥ 70 years, deaths that occurred within 5 years of follow-up and ever smokers, and adjusted for fat-free mass index (FFMI). RESULTS During the follow-up of up to 18 years, 6061 deaths were identified. We observed J-shaped association of BMI (nadir at 22-26) and monotonically positive association of WC with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality among Korean adults without a history of cancer or cardiovascular disease. In the BMI analysis, excluding ever smokers and adjusting for FFMI attenuated the excess mortality in underweight participants and transformed the J-shaped association into a monotonically positive shape, suggesting an increased mortality at BMI > 22.0. Excluding participants aged ≥ 70 years and deaths that occurred within 5 years of follow-up did not change the results. In the WC analysis, the monotonic positive associations did not change after the control. Similar results were observed among participants with a history of cancer or cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS Our data suggest that both overall and abdominal body fat are associated with increased mortality in Korean adults.
-
6.
Cheese consumption and multiple health outcomes: an umbrella review and updated meta-analysis of prospective studies.
Zhang, M, Dong, X, Huang, Z, Li, X, Zhao, Y, Wang, Y, Zhu, H, Fang, A, Giovannucci, EL
Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.). 2023;(5):1170-1186
Abstract
This umbrella review aims to provide a systematic and comprehensive overview of current evidence from prospective studies on the diverse health effects of cheese consumption. We searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library to identify meta-analyses/pooled analyses of prospective studies examining the association between cheese consumption and major health outcomes from inception to August 31, 2022. We reanalyzed and updated previous meta-analyses and performed de novo meta-analyses with recently published prospective studies, where appropriate. We calculated the summary effect size, 95% prediction confidence intervals, between-study heterogeneity, small-study effects, and excess significance bias for each health outcome. We identified 54 eligible articles of meta-analyses/pooled analyses. After adding newly published original articles, we performed 35 updated meta-analyses and 4 de novo meta-analyses. Together with 8 previous meta-analyses, we finally included 47 unique health outcomes. Cheese consumption was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (highest compared with lowest category: RR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.99), cardiovascular mortality (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.99), incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.96), coronary heart disease (CHD) (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.98), stroke (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.89, 0.98), estrogen receptor-negative (ER-) breast cancer (RR = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.82, 0.97), type 2 diabetes (RR = 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.98), total fracture (RR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.95), and dementia (RR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.66, 0.99). Null associations were found for other outcomes. According to the NutriGrade scoring system, moderate quality of evidence was observed for inverse associations of cheese consumption with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, incident CVD, CHD, and stroke, and for null associations with cancer mortality, incident hypertension, and prostate cancer. Our findings suggest that cheese consumption has neutral to moderate benefits for human health.
-
7.
Plasma total cholesterol concentration and risk of higher-grade prostate cancer: A nested case-control study and a dose-response meta-analysis.
Liu, H, Shui, IM, Keum, N, Shen, X, Wu, K, Clinton, SK, Cao, Y, Song, M, Zhang, X, Platz, EA, et al
International journal of cancer. 2023;(7):1337-1346
Abstract
Our previous publication found an increased risk of higher-grade (Gleason sum ≥7) prostate cancer for men with high total cholesterol concentration (≥200 mg/dl) in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). With additional 568 prostate cancer cases, we are now able to investigate this association in more detail. For the nested case-control study, we included 1260 men newly diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1993 and 2004, and 1328 controls. For the meta-analyses, 23 articles studied the relationship between total cholesterol level and prostate cancer incidence were included. Logistic regression models and dose-response meta-analysis were performed. An increased risk of higher-grade (Gleason sum ≥4 + 3) prostate cancer for high vs low quartile of total cholesterol level was observed in the HPFS (ORmultivariable = 1.56; 95% CI = 1.01-2.40). This finding was compatible with the association noted in the meta-analysis of highest vs lowest group of total cholesterol level, which suggested a moderately increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer (Pooled RR =1.21; 95%CI: 1.11-1.32). Moreover, the dose-response meta-analysis indicated that an increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer occurred primarily at total cholesterol levels ≥200 mg/dl, where the RR was 1.04 (95%CI: 1.01-1.08) per 20 mg/dl increase in total cholesterol level. However, total cholesterol concentration was not associated with the risk of prostate cancer overall either in the HPFS or in the meta-analysis. Our primary finding, as well as the result of the meta-analysis suggested a modest increased risk of higher-grade prostate cancer, at total cholesterol concentrations exceeding 200 mg/dl.
-
8.
Postdiagnosis body fatness, weight change and breast cancer prognosis: Global Cancer Update Program (CUP global) systematic literature review and meta-analysis.
Chan, DSM, Vieira, R, Abar, L, Aune, D, Balducci, K, Cariolou, M, Greenwood, DC, Markozannes, G, Nanu, N, Becerra-Tomás, N, et al
International journal of cancer. 2023;(4):572-599
-
-
Free full text
-
Abstract
Previous evidence on postdiagnosis body fatness and mortality after breast cancer was graded as limited-suggestive. To evaluate the evidence on body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-hip-ratio and weight change in relation to breast cancer prognosis, an updated systematic review was conducted. PubMed and Embase were searched for relevant studies published up to 31 October, 2021. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted to estimate summary relative risks (RRs). The evidence was judged by an independent Expert Panel using pre-defined grading criteria. One randomized controlled trial and 225 observational studies were reviewed (220 publications). There was strong evidence (likelihood of causality: probable) that higher postdiagnosis BMI was associated with increased all-cause mortality (64 studies, 32 507 deaths), breast cancer-specific mortality (39 studies, 14 106 deaths) and second primary breast cancer (11 studies, 5248 events). The respective summary RRs and 95% confidence intervals per 5 kg/m2 BMI were 1.07 (1.05-1.10), 1.10 (1.06-1.14) and 1.14 (1.04-1.26), with high between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 56%, 60%, 66%), but generally consistent positive associations. Positive associations were also observed for waist circumference, waist-hip-ratio and all-cause and breast cancer-specific mortality. There was limited-suggestive evidence that postdiagnosis BMI was associated with higher risk of recurrence, nonbreast cancer deaths and cardiovascular deaths. The evidence for postdiagnosis (unexplained) weight or BMI change and all outcomes was graded as limited-no conclusion. The RCT showed potential beneficial effect of intentional weight loss on disease-free-survival, but more intervention trials and well-designed observational studies in diverse populations are needed to elucidate the impact of body composition and their changes on breast cancer outcomes.
-
9.
Individual participant data (IPD)-level meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials to estimate the vitamin D dietary requirements in dark-skinned individuals resident at high latitude.
Cashman, KD, Kiely, ME, Andersen, R, Grønborg, IM, Tetens, I, Tripkovic, L, Lanham-New, SA, Lamberg-Allardt, C, Adebayo, FA, Gallagher, JC, et al
European journal of nutrition. 2022;(2):1015-1034
-
-
Free full text
-
Abstract
CONTEXT AND PURPOSE There is an urgent need to develop vitamin D dietary recommendations for dark-skinned populations resident at high latitude. Using data from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) with vitamin D3-supplements/fortified foods, we undertook an individual participant data-level meta-regression (IPD) analysis of the response of wintertime serum 25-hydroxyvitamin (25(OH)D) to total vitamin D intake among dark-skinned children and adults residing at ≥ 40° N and derived dietary requirement values for vitamin D. METHODS IPD analysis using data from 677 dark-skinned participants (of Black or South Asian descent; ages 5-86 years) in 10 RCTs with vitamin D supplements/fortified foods identified via a systematic review and predefined eligibility criteria. Outcome measures were vitamin D intake estimates across a range of 25(OH)D thresholds. RESULTS To maintain serum 25(OH)D concentrations ≥ 25 and 30 nmol/L in 97.5% of individuals, 23.9 and 27.3 µg/day of vitamin D, respectively, were required among South Asian and 24.1 and 33.2 µg/day, respectively, among Black participants. Overall, our age-stratified intake estimates did not exceed age-specific Tolerable Upper Intake Levels for vitamin D. The vitamin D intake required by dark-skinned individuals to maintain 97.5% of winter 25(OH)D concentrations ≥ 50 nmol/L was 66.8 µg/day. This intake predicted that the upper 2.5% of individuals could potentially achieve serum 25(OH)D concentrations ≥ 158 nmol/L, which has been linked to potential adverse effects in older adults in supplementation studies. CONCLUSIONS Our IPD-derived vitamin D intakes required to maintain 97.5% of winter 25(OH)D concentrations ≥ 25, 30 and 50 nmol/L are substantially higher than the equivalent estimates for White individuals. These requirement estimates are also higher than those currently recommended internationally by several agencies, which are based predominantly on data from Whites and derived from standard meta-regression based on aggregate data. Much more work is needed in dark-skinned populations both in the dose-response relationship and risk characterisation for health outcomes. TRAIL REGISTRATION PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (Registration Number: CRD42018097260).
-
10.
Physical Activity and Health-Related Quality of Life in Women With Breast Cancer: A Meta-Analysis.
Aune, D, Markozannes, G, Abar, L, Balducci, K, Cariolou, M, Nanu, N, Vieira, R, Anifowoshe, YO, Greenwood, DC, Clinton, SK, et al
JNCI cancer spectrum. 2022;(6)
Abstract
BACKGROUND Physical activity (PA) is associated with improved health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among women with breast cancer; however, uncertainty remains regarding PA types and dose (frequency, duration, intensity) and various HRQoL measures. A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials was conducted to clarify whether specific types and doses of physical activity was related to global and specific domains of HRQoL, as part of the Global Cancer Update Programme, formerly known as the World Cancer Research Fund-American Institute for Cancer Research Continuous Update Project. METHODS PubMed and CENTRAL databases were searched up to August 31, 2019. Weighted mean differences (WMDs) in HRQoL scores were estimated using random effects models. An independent expert panel graded the evidence. RESULTS A total of 79 randomized controlled trials (14 554 breast cancer patients) were included. PA interventions resulted in higher global HRQoL as measured by the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast (WMD = 5.94, 95% confidence intervals [CI] = 2.64 to 9.24; I2 = 59%, n = 12), Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-General (WMD = 4.53, 95% CI = 1.94 to 7.13; I2 = 72%, n = 18), and European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-C30 (WMD = 6.78, 95% CI = 2.61 to 10.95; I2 = 76.3%, n = 17). The likelihood of causality was considered probable that PA improves HRQoL in breast cancer survivors. Effects were weaker for physical function and mental and emotional health. Evidence regarding dose and type of PA remains insufficient for firm conclusions. CONCLUSION PA results in improved global HRQoL in breast cancer survivors with weaker effects observed for physical function and mental and emotional health. Additional research is needed to define the impact of types and doses of activity on various domains of HRQoL.