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Egg consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease: three large prospective US cohort studies, systematic review, and updated meta-analysis.
Drouin-Chartier, JP, Chen, S, Li, Y, Schwab, AL, Stampfer, MJ, Sacks, FM, Rosner, B, Willett, WC, Hu, FB, Bhupathiraju, SN
BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2020;368:m513
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Eggs have a high cholesterol content and have therefore been associated with a risk for heart disease. However, studies to substantiate this have been conflicting, with some studies showing associations and others not. This systematic review and meta-analysis of over five million people and 763 studies aimed to evaluate the association between egg intake and the risk of heart disease. The results showed that higher egg intake was associated with a poor diet. Egg intake was not associated with heart disease and this was evident even in people who ate at least one egg per day. Even in people with other associated diseases, such as type 2 diabetes and high blood pressure, egg intake was not associated with heart disease. It was concluded that egg consumption does not increase an individual’s risk for heart disease. This study could be used by healthcare professionals to justify the recommendation that patients at risk of heart disease or those who have heart disease, can still eat up to one egg per day, without risk of exacerbating their condition.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association between egg intake and cardiovascular disease risk among women and men in the United States, and to conduct a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. DESIGN Prospective cohort study, and a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. SETTING Nurses' Health Study (NHS, 1980-2012), NHS II (1991-2013), Health Professionals' Follow-Up Study (HPFS, 1986-2012). PARTICIPANTS Cohort analyses included 83 349 women from NHS, 90 214 women from NHS II, and 42 055 men from HPFS who were free of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and cancer at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incident cardiovascular disease, which included non-fatal myocardial infarction, fatal coronary heart disease, and stroke. RESULTS Over up to 32 years of follow-up (>5.54 million person years), 14 806 participants with incident cardiovascular disease were identified in the three cohorts. Participants with a higher egg intake had a higher body mass index, were less likely to be treated with statins, and consumed more red meats. Most people consumed between one and less than five eggs per week. In the pooled multivariable analysis, consumption of at least one egg per day was not associated with incident cardiovascular disease risk after adjustment for updated lifestyle and dietary factors associated with egg intake (hazard ratio for at least one egg per day v less than one egg per month 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.82 to 1.05). In the updated meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies (33 risk estimates, 1 720 108 participants, 139 195 cardiovascular disease events), an increase of one egg per day was not associated with cardiovascular disease risk (pooled relative risk 0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.93 to 1.03, I2=62.3%). Results were similar for coronary heart disease (21 risk estimates, 1 411 261 participants, 59 713 coronary heart disease events; 0.96, 0.91 to 1.03, I2=38.2%), and stroke (22 risk estimates, 1 059 315 participants, 53 617 stroke events; 0.99, 0.91 to 1.07, I2=71.5%). In analyses stratified by geographical location (P for interaction=0.07), no association was found between egg consumption and cardiovascular disease risk among US cohorts (1.01, 0.96 to 1.06, I2=30.8%) or European cohorts (1.05, 0.92 to 1.19, I2=64.7%), but an inverse association was seen in Asian cohorts (0.92, 0.85 to 0.99, I2=44.8%). CONCLUSIONS Results from the three cohorts and from the updated meta-analysis show that moderate egg consumption (up to one egg per day) is not associated with cardiovascular disease risk overall, and is associated with potentially lower cardiovascular disease risk in Asian populations. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION PROSPERO CRD42019129650.
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Dietary intake of total, animal, and plant proteins and risk of all cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.
Naghshi, S, Sadeghi, O, Willett, WC, Esmaillzadeh, A
BMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2020;370:m2412
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Eating a diet high in protein, particularly from plants, has been linked to improvements in indicators for heart disease. However, links to reduction in heart disease, cancer and death remain controversial. This systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 cohort papers aimed to investigate the associations between dietary protein intake and the risk of death, death due to heart disease and death due to cancer. The results showed that total protein and animal protein intake did not affect the risk of death due to heart disease. However, increased plant protein intake decreased the risk of death from heart disease, and this was apparent from as little as an additional 3% of energy from plant proteins per day. Death from any cause decreased as protein and plant protein intake increased, but animal protein alone had no effect. Death due to cancer was not affected by the amount of dietary protein, animal protein, or plant protein. It was concluded that this study supports the recommendation of higher dietary plant protein in the general population to reduce the risk of death by any cause and death due to heart disease and healthcare professionals could use this study to justify this decision.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine and quantify the potential dose-response relation between intake of total, animal, and plant protein and the risk of mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer. DESIGN Systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. DATA SOURCES PubMed, Scopus, and ISI Web of Science until December 2019, and references of retrieved relevant articles. STUDY SELECTION Prospective cohort studies that reported the risk estimates for all cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality in adults aged 18 or older. DATA SYNTHESIS Random effects models were used to calculate pooled effect sizes and 95% confidence intervals for the highest versus lowest categories of protein intake and to incorporate variation between studies. Linear and non-linear dose-response analyses were done to evaluate the dose-response relations between protein intake and mortality. RESULTS 32 prospective cohort studies were included in the systematic review and 31 in the meta-analysis. During the follow-up period of 3.5 to 32 years, 113 039 deaths (16 429 from cardiovascular disease and 22 303 from cancer) occurred among 715 128 participants. Intake of total protein was associated with a lower risk of all cause mortality (pooled effect size 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.89 to 0.99, I2=58.4%, P<0.001). Intake of plant protein was significantly associated with a lower risk of all cause mortality (pooled effect size 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.97, I2=57.5%, P=0.003) and cardiovascular disease mortality (pooled hazard ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.80 to 0.96, I2=63.7%, P=0.001), but not with cancer mortality. Intake of total and animal protein was not significantly associated with risk of cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality. A dose-response analysis showed a significant inverse dose-response association between intake of plant protein and all cause mortality (P=0.05 for non-linearity). An additional 3% energy from plant proteins a day was associated with a 5% lower risk of death from all causes. CONCLUSIONS Higher intake of total protein was associated with a lower risk of all cause mortality, and intake of plant protein was associated with a lower risk of all cause and cardiovascular disease mortality. Replacement of foods high in animal protein with plant protein sources could be associated with longevity.
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Dietary carbohydrate intake and mortality: a prospective cohort study and meta-analysis.
Seidelmann, SB, Claggett, B, Cheng, S, Henglin, M, Shah, A, Steffen, LM, Folsom, AR, Rimm, EB, Willett, WC, Solomon, SD
The Lancet. Public health. 2018;3(9):e419-e428
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Previous trials have shown that low carbohydrate diets are beneficial for short-term weight loss. However, the long-term impact of carbohydrate restriction on mortality is less clear, with research producing conflicting results. Additionally, previous studies have not addressed the source or quality of proteins and fats consumed in low-carbohydrate diets. This study aimed to find out whether there is an association between carbohydrate consumption and mortality. It also looked at whether animal-based or plant-based foods had any impact on the association. The researchers began by studying over 15,000 adults in the US, enrolled between 1987 and 1989. At the start of the study and again six years later, participants completed food frequency questionnaires. These were used to estimate the percentage of calories they derived from carbohydrate, fat and protein. The results showed a U-shape association between overall carbohydrate intake and life expectancy, with low (less than 40% of calories from carbohydrates) and high (more than 70%) intake of carbohydrates associated with a higher risk of mortality compared with moderate intake (50-55% of calories). The researchers estimated that the average life expectancy was 4 years shorter for those with low carbohydrate consumption, and 1 year shorter for those with high carbohydrate consumption, compared to those with a moderate carbohydrate intake. However, the authors point out that since diets were only recorded at the start of the trial and six years later, participants’ diets could have changed during the 25-year follow-up period. Next, the authors performed a meta-analysis of data from eight previous studies. This revealed similar trends, with participants whose overall diets were high and low in carbohydrates having a shorter life expectancy than those with moderate consumption. In further analyses examining the source of proteins and fats, animal-derived protein and fat sources, such as lamb, beef, pork and chicken, were associated with higher mortality, whereas plant-derived protein and fat intake, from sources such as vegetables, nuts, peanut butter and whole-grains, were associated with lower mortality. The authors suggest that, when restricting carbohydrate intake, replacement of carbohydrates with predominantly plant-based fats and proteins could be considered as a long-term approach to promote healthy ageing.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Low carbohydrate diets, which restrict carbohydrate in favour of increased protein or fat intake, or both, are a popular weight-loss strategy. However, the long-term effect of carbohydrate restriction on mortality is controversial and could depend on whether dietary carbohydrate is replaced by plant-based or animal-based fat and protein. We aimed to investigate the association between carbohydrate intake and mortality. METHODS We studied 15 428 adults aged 45-64 years, in four US communities, who completed a dietary questionnaire at enrolment in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (between 1987 and 1989), and who did not report extreme caloric intake (<600 kcal or >4200 kcal per day for men and <500 kcal or >3600 kcal per day for women). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. We investigated the association between the percentage of energy from carbohydrate intake and all-cause mortality, accounting for possible non-linear relationships in this cohort. We further examined this association, combining ARIC data with data for carbohydrate intake reported from seven multinational prospective studies in a meta-analysis. Finally, we assessed whether the substitution of animal or plant sources of fat and protein for carbohydrate affected mortality. FINDINGS During a median follow-up of 25 years there were 6283 deaths in the ARIC cohort, and there were 40 181 deaths across all cohort studies. In the ARIC cohort, after multivariable adjustment, there was a U-shaped association between the percentage of energy consumed from carbohydrate (mean 48·9%, SD 9·4) and mortality: a percentage of 50-55% energy from carbohydrate was associated with the lowest risk of mortality. In the meta-analysis of all cohorts (432 179 participants), both low carbohydrate consumption (<40%) and high carbohydrate consumption (>70%) conferred greater mortality risk than did moderate intake, which was consistent with a U-shaped association (pooled hazard ratio 1·20, 95% CI 1·09-1·32 for low carbohydrate consumption; 1·23, 1·11-1·36 for high carbohydrate consumption). However, results varied by the source of macronutrients: mortality increased when carbohydrates were exchanged for animal-derived fat or protein (1·18, 1·08-1·29) and mortality decreased when the substitutions were plant-based (0·82, 0·78-0·87). INTERPRETATION Both high and low percentages of carbohydrate diets were associated with increased mortality, with minimal risk observed at 50-55% carbohydrate intake. Low carbohydrate dietary patterns favouring animal-derived protein and fat sources, from sources such as lamb, beef, pork, and chicken, were associated with higher mortality, whereas those that favoured plant-derived protein and fat intake, from sources such as vegetables, nuts, peanut butter, and whole-grain breads, were associated with lower mortality, suggesting that the source of food notably modifies the association between carbohydrate intake and mortality. FUNDING National Institutes of Health.