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Hypertensive Retinopathy and the Risk of Stroke Among Hypertensive Adults in China.
Chen, X, Liu, L, Liu, M, Huang, X, Meng, Y, She, H, Zhao, L, Zhang, J, Zhang, Y, Gu, X, et al
Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2021;(9):28
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Abstract
PURPOSE This study aimed to investigate the association between hypertensive retinopathy and the risk of first stroke, examine possible effect modifiers in hypertensive patients, and test the appropriateness of the Keith-Wagener-Barker (KWB) classification for predicting stroke risk. METHODS In total, 9793 hypertensive participants (3727 males and 6066 females) without stroke history from the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial were included in this study. The primary outcome was first stroke. RESULTS Over a median follow-up of 4.4 years, 592 participants experienced their first stroke (509 ischemic, 77 hemorrhagic, and six unclassifiable strokes). In total, 5590 participants were diagnosed with grade 1 retinopathy (57.08%), 1466 with grade 2 retinopathy (14.97%), 231 with grade 3 retinopathy (2.36%), and three with grade 4 retinopathy (0.03%). Grades 1 and 2 were merged and classified as mild retinopathy, and grades 3 and 4 were merged and classified as severe retinopathy. There was a significant positive association between hypertensive retinopathy and the risk of first stroke and first ischemic stroke, and no effect modifiers were found. The hazard ratios (HRs) for first stroke were as follows: mild versus no retinopathy, 1.26 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.58, P = 0.040), and severe versus no retinopathy, 2.40 (95% CI, 1.49-3.84, P < 0.001). The HRs for ischemic stroke were as follows: severe versus no retinopathy, 2.35 (95% CI, 1.41-3.90, P = 0.001), and nonsignificantly increased HRs for mild versus no retinopathy, 1.26 (95% CI, 0.99-1.60, P = 0.057). CONCLUSIONS There was a significant positive association between hypertensive retinopathy and the risk of first stroke in patients with hypertension, indicating that hypertensive retinopathy may be a predictor of the risk of stroke. A simplified two-grade classification system based on the KWB classification is recommended for predicting stroke risk.
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Optimal Systolic Blood Pressure Levels for Primary Prevention of Stroke in General Hypertensive Adults: Findings From the CSPPT (China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial).
Fan, F, Yuan, Z, Qin, X, Li, J, Zhang, Y, Li, Y, Yu, T, Ji, M, Ge, J, Zheng, M, et al
Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979). 2017;(4):697-704
Abstract
We aimed to investigate the relationship of time-averaged on-treatment systolic blood pressure (SBP) with the risk of first stroke in the CSPPT (China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial). A post hoc analysis was conducted using data from 17 720 hypertensive adults without cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, and renal function decline from the CSPPT, a randomized double-blind controlled trial. The primary outcome was first stroke. Over a median follow-up duration of 4.5 years, the association between averaged on-treatment SBP and risk for first stoke followed a U-shape curve, with increased risk above and below the reference range of 120 to 130 mm Hg. Compared with participants with time-averaged on-treatment SBP at 120 to 130 mm Hg (mean, 126.2 mm Hg), the risk of first stroke was not only increased in participants with SBP at 130 to 135 mm Hg (mean, 132.6 mm Hg; 1.5% versus 0.8%; hazard ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-2.63) or 135 to 140 mm Hg (mean, 137.5 mm Hg; 1.9% versus 0.8%; hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-2.93), but also increased in participants with SBP <120 mm Hg (mean, 116.7 mm Hg; 3.1% versus 0.8%; hazard ratio, 4.37; 95% confidence interval, 2.10-9.07). Similar results were found in various subgroups stratified by age, sex, and treatment group. Furthermore, lower diastolic blood pressure was associated with lower risk of stroke, with a plateau at a time-average on-treatment diastolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg. In conclusion, among adults with hypertension and without a history of stroke or myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus, or renal function decline, a lower SBP goal of 120 to 130 mm Hg, as compared with a target SBP of 130 to 140 mm Hg or <120 mm Hg, resulted in the lowest risk of first stroke.
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China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial: Visit-to-Visit Systolic Blood Pressure Variability Is an Independent Predictor of Primary Stroke in Hypertensive Patients.
Men, X, Sun, W, Fan, F, Zhao, M, Huang, X, Wang, Y, Liu, L, Liu, R, Sun, W, Peng, Q, et al
Journal of the American Heart Association. 2017;(3)
Abstract
BACKGROUND The optimal range of blood pressure variability remains unclear. We aimed to stratify the degree of risk of stroke based on visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability in a large Chinese hypertensive population in 32 communities. METHODS AND RESULTS We retrospectively analyzed the data of 20 702 hypertensive patients from the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial. The participants were randomized into 2 treatment groups to receive either enalapril or enalapril plus folic acid. Their blood pressures were measured every 3 months. The outcome was the first stroke. Three parameters of SBP variability were calculated: standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and average real variability. The records of first 4, 6, 8, 10 and 12 visits at which SBP was measured were used to calculate SBP variability and to predict subsequent stroke risk in adjusted Cox regression models. After median follow-up of 4.5 years, 597 patients had experienced stroke. Visit-to-visit SBP variability was an independent predictor of subsequent stroke (eg, the hazard ratio for the highest quintile of average real variability [22.67-61.07 mm Hg] over 6 visits was 1.55, 95% CI 1.07-2.25, P=0.021), independent of mean SBP over the follow-up period. Its value was more predictive when more blood pressure records were used. CONCLUSIONS Visit-to-visit SBP variability is an independent predictor of primary stroke in Chinese hypertensive patients. This predictive value depends on the number of blood pressure measurements used to calculate variability but is independent of mean SBP. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00794885.
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Clinical and serum-based markers are associated with death within 1 year of de novo implant in primary prevention ICD recipients.
Zhang, Y, Guallar, E, Blasco-Colmenares, E, Dalal, D, Butcher, B, Norgard, S, Tjong, FV, Eldadah, Z, Dickfeld, T, Ellenbogen, KA, et al
Heart rhythm. 2015;(2):360-6
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation is contraindicated in those with <1-year life expectancy. OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to develop a risk prediction score for 1-year mortality in patients with primary prevention ICDs and to determine the incremental improvement in discrimination when serum-based biomarkers are added to traditional clinical variables. METHODS We analyzed data from the Prospective Observational Study of Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators, a large prospective observational study of patients undergoing primary prevention ICD implantation who were extensively phenotyped for clinical and serum-based biomarkers. We identified variables predicting 1-year mortality and synthesized them into a comprehensive risk scoring construct using backward selection. RESULTS Of 1189 patients deemed by their treating physicians as having a reasonable 1-year life expectancy, 62 (5.2%) patients died within 1 year of ICD implantation. The risk score, composed of 6 clinical factors (age ≥75 years, New York Heart Association class III/IV, atrial fibrillation, estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m(2), diabetes, and use of diuretics), had good discrimination (area under the curve 0.77) for 1-year mortality. Addition of 3 biomarkers (tumor necrosis factor α receptor II, pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and cardiac troponin T) further improved model discrimination to 0.82. Patients with 0-1, 2-3, 4-6, or 7-9 risk factors had 1-year mortality rates of 0.8%, 2.7%, 16.1%, and 46.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION Individuals with more comorbidities and elevation of specific serum biomarkers were at increased risk of all-cause mortality despite being deemed as having a reasonable 1-year life expectancy. A simple risk score composed of readily available clinical data and serum biomarkers may better identify patients at high risk of early mortality and improve patient selection and counseling for primary prevention ICD therapy.