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Childhood obesity prevention trials: A systematic review and meta-analysis on trial design and the impact of type 1 error.
Padgett, L, Stevens, J, Summerbell, C, Burton, W, Stamp, E, McLarty, L, Schofield, H, Bryant, M
Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity. 2024;25(6):e13736
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Individuals living with over-weight or obesity as a child are more likely to have overweight or obesity in adulthood and as a result suffer from obesity-related chronic diseases and, as recently shown, death from infectious disease such as Covid-19. The primary aim was to systematically review and analyse the design of childhood obesity prevention randomised controlled trials and assess how type 1 error [(false-positive) occurs if an investigator rejects a null hypothesis that is actually true in the population] influences their reported effectiveness. This study was a systematic review and meta-analysis of eighty-four randomised controlled trials. Results showed that there is broad variation in the design of child obesity prevention trials and that the effectiveness of obesity prevention interventions is being determined according to a range of expected effect sizes. In fact, when accounting for type 1 error, the effectiveness of several interventions was reduced, highlighting the importance of rigorous trial design and statistical analysis. Authors concluded that while many childhood obesity prevention trials report positive outcomes, the lack of control for type 1 error, can lead to inflated effectiveness estimates. Thus, they emphasise the need for more robust trial designs and statistical methods to ensure accurate and reliable results in obesity prevention research.
Abstract
Effect sizes from previously reported trials are often used to determine the meaningful change in weight in childhood obesity prevention interventions because information on clinically meaningful differences is lacking. Estimates from previous trials may be influenced by statistical significance; therefore, it is important that they have a low risk of type 1 error. A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to report on the design of child obesity prevention randomized controlled trials and effectiveness according to risk of type 1 error. Eighty-four randomized controlled trials were identified. A large range of assumptions were applied in the sample size calculations. The most common primary outcome was BMI, with detectable effect size differences used in sample size calculations ranging from 0.25 kg/m2 (followed up at 2 years) to 1.1 kg/m2 (at 9 months) and BMI z-score ranging from 0.1 (at 4 years) to 0.67 (at 3 years). There was no consistent relationship between low risk of type 1 error and reports of higher or lower effectiveness. Further clarity of the size of a meaningful difference in weight in childhood obesity prevention trials is required to support evaluation design and decision-making for intervention and policy. Type 1 error risk does not appear to impact effect sizes in a consistent direction.
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The prevalence of thyroid disorders in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Ashrafi, S, Hatami, H, Bidhendi-Yarandi, R, Panahi, MH
BMC endocrine disorders. 2024;24(1):5
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COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has had widespread impacts on various organ systems, including the endocrine system. Emerging evidence suggests that COVID-19 may affect thyroid function, leading to thyroid disorders. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of thyroid disorders among COVID-19 patients and to identify any associated factors. This research was a systematic review and meta-analysis, incorporating data from multiple observational studies and clinical reports on thyroid function in COVID-19 patients. Results showed a 26% prevalence of non-thyroidal illness syndrome and a 10% prevalence of thyrotoxicosis [clinical state associated with excess thyroid hormone activity]. Authors concluded that clinicians should monitor thyroid function in COVID-19 patients, particularly those with severe illness, and provide appropriate treatment.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the prevalence of thyroid disorders in COVID-19 patients. DATA SOURCES Scopus, PubMed, ISI Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases were used in this review. We also consider the results of grey literature. STUDY SELECTIONS Cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control studies were included. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS The required data were extracted by the first author of the article and reviewed by the second author. The Pooled prevalence of outcomes of interest was applied using the meta-prop method with a pooled estimate after Freeman-Tukey Double Arcsine Transformation to stabilize the variances. OUTCOMES AND MEASURED The different thyroid disorders were the main outcomes of this study. The diseases include non-thyroidal illness syndrome, thyrotoxicosis, hypothyroidism, isolated elevated free T4, and isolated low free T4. RESULTS Eight articles were included in our meta-analysis(Total participants: 1654). The pooled prevalence of events hypothyroidism, isolated elevated FT4, isolated low FT4, NTIS, and thyrotoxicosis were estimated (Pooled P = 3%, 95% CI:2-5%, I2: 78%), (Pooled P = 2%, 95% CI: 0-4%, I2: 66%), (Pooled P = 1%, 95% CI: 0-1%, I2: 0%), (Pooled P = 26%, 95% CI: 10-42%, I2: 98%), and (Pooled P = 10%, 95% CI: 4-16%, I2: 89%), respectively. CONCLUSION Thyroid dysfunction is common in COVID-19 patients, with a high prevalence of non-thyroidal illness syndrome (NTIS) and thyrotoxicosis. Our meta-analysis found a 26% prevalence of NTIS and a 10% prevalence of thyrotoxicosis. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION PROSPERO CRD42022312601.
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SARS-CoV-2 effects on sperm parameters: a meta-analysis study.
Xie, Y, Mirzaei, M, Kahrizi, MS, Shabestari, AM, Riahi, SM, Farsimadan, M, Roviello, G
Journal of assisted reproduction and genetics. 2022;39(7):1555-1563
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Infertility is a reproductive system disorder. Viruses as a major cause of fertility problems can potentially interfere with reproductive function in men. The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was found to be the causing viral pathogen of COVID-19 and capable of affecting human health. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of SARS-CoV-2 on different semen parameters including sperm count, sperm concentration, volume, motility, and progressive motility. This study is a meta-analysis of twelve studies of which seven were case control studies and five were retrospective cohort studies. Results show that SARS-CoV-2 infection could lead to significant impairments of male reproductive function through exerting negative influences on different semen parameters namely semen volume, sperm concentration, sperm count, and sperm motility. Authors conclude that their findings revealed the vulnerability of semen quality to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Abstract
AIM: The rapid outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic posed challenges across different medical fields, especially reproductive health, and gave rise to concerns regarding the effects of SARS-CoV-2 on male infertility, owing to the fact that the male reproductive system indicated to be extremely vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Only a small number of studies have investigated the effects of SARS-CoV-2 on male reproduction, but the results are not consistent. So, we performed this meta-analysis to draw a clearer picture and evaluate the impacts of COVID-19 on male reproductive system. METHOD We searched Embase, Web of Science, PubMed, and Google Scholar databases to identify the potentially relevant studies. Standardized mean difference (SMD) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was applied to assess the relationship. Heterogeneity testing, sensitivity analysis, and publication bias testing were also performed. RESULTS A total of twelve studies including 7 case control investigations and 5 retrospective cohort studies were found relevant and chosen for our research. Our result showed that different sperm parameters including semen volume [SMD = - 0.27 (- 0.46, - 1.48) (p = 0.00)], sperm concentration [SMD = - 0.41 (- 0.67, - 0.15) (p = 0.002)], sperm count [SMD = - 0.30 (- 0.44, - 0.17) (p = 0.00)], sperm motility [SMD = - 0.66 (- 0.98, - 0.33) (p = 0.00)], and progressive motility [SMD = - 0.35 (- 0.61, - 0.08) (p = 0.01)] were negatively influenced by SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, sperm concentration (p = 0.07) and progressive motility (p = 0.61) were not found to be significantly associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in case control studies. No publication bias was detected. CONCLUSION The present study revealed the vulnerability of semen quality to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our data showed a strong association of different sperm parameters with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The results suggested that SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients may negatively influence their fertility potential in a short-term period, but more studies are needed to decide about the long-term effects.
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Vasculitis changes in COVID-19 survivors with persistent symptoms: an [18F]FDG-PET/CT study.
Sollini, M, Ciccarelli, M, Cecconi, M, Aghemo, A, Morelli, P, Gelardi, F, Chiti, A
European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging. 2021;48(5):1460-1466
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The SARS-CoV-2 infection manifests with a broad spectrum of clinical patterns ranging from minimally or asymptomatic cases to mild illness, to severe infection, to critical disease. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the radiopharmaceutical, 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose ([18F]FDG), was able to demonstrate a persistent inflammatory process in the vascular epithelium or in any other site. The study included Covid-19 patients who recovered but complained of unexplained persisting symptoms for more than 30 days during the follow-up visits. The patients where divided into two groups; the long Covid and control group. Results indicate that although the total vascular score was similar in the two groups, the target-to-blood pool ratio was significantly higher in three vascular regions (thoracic aorta, right iliac artery, and femoral arteries) in the long Covid than in controls. Authors conclude that their findings suggest that SARS-CoV-2 induces vascular inflammation, which may be responsible for persisting symptoms.
Abstract
PURPOSE Several patients experience unexplained persistent symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 recovering. We aimed at evaluating if 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose ([18F]FDG) was able to demonstrate a persistent inflammatory process. METHODS Recovered adult COVID-19 patients, who complained unexplained persisting symptoms for more than 30 days during the follow-up visits, were invited to participate in the study. Patients fulfilling inclusion criteria were imaged by [18F]FDG positron emission tomography/computed tomography ([18F]FDG-PET/CT). Whole-body [18F]FDG-PET/CT, performed according to good clinical practice, was qualitatively (comparison with background/liver) and semi-quantitatively (target-to-blood pool ratio calculated as average SUVmax artery/average SUVmean inferior vena cava) analyzed. Negative follow-up [18F]FDG-PET/CT images of oncologic patients matched for age/sex served as controls. Mann-Whitney test was used to test differences between groups. SPSS version 26 was used for analyses. RESULTS Ten recovered SARS-CoV-2 patients (seven male and three females, median age 52 years, range 46-80) with persisting symptoms were enrolled in the study. Common findings at visual analysis were increased [18F]FDG uptake in bone marrow and blood vessels (8/10 and 6/10 cases, respectively). [18F]FDG uptake in bone marrow did not differ between cases and controls (p = 0.16). The total vascular score was similar in the two groups (p = 0.95). The target-to-blood pool ratio resulted higher in recovered SARS-CoV-2 patients than in controls. CONCLUSION Although the total vascular score was similar in the two groups, the target-to-blood pool ratio was significantly higher in three vascular regions (thoracic aorta, right iliac artery, and femoral arteries) in the recovered COVID-19 cohort than in controls, suggesting that SARS-CoV-2 induces vascular inflammation, which may be responsible for persisting symptoms.
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Historical Insight into Infections and Disorders Associated with Neurological and Psychiatric Sequelae Similar to Long COVID.
Stefano, GB
Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research. 2021;27:e931447
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Literature shows that there are long-term symptoms and organ damage in patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 that persist after the acute illness. The aim of this review was to present a historical overview of infections and disorders associated with the neurological and psychiatric sequelae that have shown similarities with long COVID. Historically, the common symptom of altered cognition has been reported during earlier pandemics. Pandemics discussed in this review include; influenza pandemics of 1889 and 1892 (Russian flu), Spanish flu pandemic (1918-1919), encephalitis lethargica, diphtheria, and myalgic encephalomyelitis (chronic fatigue syndrome or post-viral fatigue syndrome). Furthermore, literature shows that there are similarities between the symptoms of chronic fatigue syndrome and the brain fog of long COVID. Viral infection, cerebral hypoxia [reduced supply of oxygen to the brain), cognitive dysfunction, or brain fog may occur along a common pathway in the long-term pathogenesis of epidemic and pandemic infections, including COVID-19. Authors conclude that utilising data from past epidemics and pandemics may help to identify common acute and chronic syndromes, including neurological and psychiatric sequelae with similarities to the conditions currently described in patients with long COVID.
Abstract
Long-term sequelae of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are now recognized. However, there is still a lack of consensus regarding the terminology for this emerging chronic clinical syndrome, which includes long COVID, chronic COVID syndrome, post-COVID-19 syndrome, post-acute COVID-19, and long-hauler COVID-19. In this review, I will use the term "long COVID". A review of the medical history and epidemiology of past pandemics and epidemics in modern literature review identifies common long-term post-infectious disorders, with the common finding of altered cognition. In the brain, the cerebral hypoxia induced by SARS-CoV-2 infection may be caused by mitochondrial dysfunction, resulting in "brain fog". Historically, the common symptom of altered cognition has been reported during earlier pandemics, which include the influenza pandemics of 1889 and 1892 (Russian flu), the Spanish flu pandemic (1918-1919), encephalitis lethargica, diphtheria, and myalgic encephalomyelitis (chronic fatigue syndrome or post-viral fatigue syndrome). There are similarities between chronic fatigue syndrome and the "brain fog" described in long COVID. During past viral epidemics and pandemics, a commonality of neural targets may have increased viral survival by conformational matching. The neurological and psychiatric sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection, or long COVID, may have emerged from neural effects that have emerged from an invertebrate and vertebrate virosphere. This review aims to present a historical overview of infections and disorders associated with neurological and psychiatric sequelae that have shown similarities with long COVID.
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SARS-CoV-2 and immune-microbiome interactions: Lessons from respiratory viral infections.
Cyprian, F, Sohail, MU, Abdelhafez, I, Salman, S, Attique, Z, Kamareddine, L, Al-Asmakh, M
International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases. 2021;105:540-550
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Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is an enveloped RNA beta-coronavirus. This virus caused the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this review was to investigate the relationship between microbiota, immunity, and COVID-19, with particular focus on how microbiome-associated immune crosstalk can shape outcome of COVID-19. The study included 118 articles which investigated or reviewed COVID-19 or coronavirus and the microbiome of the gut or respiratory tract. Findings indicate that: - an over-activated immune system leads to massive pulmonary damage in COVID-19 patients. - the effect of aging and comorbidities, and the use of antibiotics have an effect on the diversity of the microbiota. - the milieu of gut flora can exert influence on pulmonary immune responses. - a unique cross-talk exists between the pulmonary and gut microbial compartments. Authors conclude by highlighting the need of further studies that delineate the role of the microbiota and their products in the immune dysregulation observed in SARS-CoV-2 infections.
Abstract
By the beginning of 2020, infection caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) had rapidly evolved into an emergent worldwide pandemic, an outbreak whose unprecedented consequences highlighted many existing flaws within public healthcare systems across the world. While coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is bestowed with a broad spectrum of clinical manifestations, involving the vital organs, the respiratory system transpires as the main route of entry for SARS-CoV-2, with the lungs being its primary target. Of those infected, up to 20% require hospitalization on account of severity, while the majority of patients are either asymptomatic or exhibit mild symptoms. Exacerbation in the disease severity and complications of COVID-19 infection have been associated with multiple comorbidities, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disorders, cancer, and chronic lung disease. Interestingly, a recent body of evidence indicated the pulmonary and gut microbiomes as potential modulators for altering the course of COVID-19, potentially via the microbiome-immune system axis. While the relative concordance between microbes and immunity has yet to be fully elucidated with regards to COVID-19, we present an overview of our current understanding of COVID-19-microbiome-immune cross talk and discuss the potential contributions of microbiome-related immunity to SARS-CoV-2 pathogenesis and COVID-19 disease progression.
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Understanding Viral Infection Mechanisms and Patient Symptoms for the Development of COVID-19 Therapeutics.
Choi, HM, Moon, SY, Yang, HI, Kim, KS
International journal of molecular sciences. 2021;22(4)
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The outbreak of a novel coronavirus was reported in Wuhan, in the Hubei province of China, in December 2019. This virus was officially designated as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) because of its phylogenetic and taxonomic similarities to other coronaviruses. The aim of this review was to understand the viral infection mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2, the clinical features of Covid-19 and the mechanisms through which Covid-19 can be effectively treated with existing drugs. Literature shows that: • SARS-CoV-2 is usually transmitted by inhalation or contact with infected droplets. Inhaled droplets or aerosol carrying the virus then infect and spread through the respiratory tracts. • Severe inflammatory response is a remarkable feature of Covid-19 symptoms. This is caused by delayed viral clearance, which induces chronic systemic inflammation and widespread tissue damage, even leading to cytokine storms. • The incubation period is generally 5-6 days, but it ranges from one day to as much as two weeks. • Interstitial pneumonia and subsequent acute respiratory distress syndrome are the leading causes of death in patients with Covid-19. • There is no licensed treatment for Covid-19, only a combination of antiviral and anti-inflammatory drug treatments are being used. Authors conclude that their finding may provide new insights into the development of therapeutics by understanding the various clinical and basic research studies currently underway.
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has become a worldwide pandemic. Symptoms range from mild fever to cough, fatigue, severe pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and organ failure, with a mortality rate of 2.2%. However, there are no licensed drugs or definitive treatment strategies for patients with severe COVID-19. Only antiviral or anti-inflammatory drugs are used as symptomatic treatments based on clinician experience. Basic medical researchers are also trying to develop COVID-19 therapeutics. However, there is limited systematic information about the pathogenesis of COVID-19 symptoms that cause tissue damage or death and the mechanisms by which the virus infects and replicates in cells. Here, we introduce recent knowledge of time course changes in viral titers, delayed virus clearance, and persistent systemic inflammation in patients with severe COVID-19. Based on the concept of drug reposition, we review which antiviral or anti-inflammatory drugs can effectively treat COVID-19 patients based on progressive symptoms and the mechanisms inhibiting virus infection and replication.
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Ross River Virus Immune Evasion Strategies and the Relevance to Post-viral Fatigue, and Myalgic Encephalomyelitis Onset.
Lidbury, BA
Frontiers in medicine. 2021;8:662513
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Ross river virus (RRV) is a mosquito borne virus that is thought to be the trigger of myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME) in many Australians. Viruses like RRV are thought to be so successful due to their ability to avoid and often manipulate the hosts immune response. This review of 75 studies aimed to discuss immune evasion strategies employed by RRV and understand the relevance to post viral fatigue and the development of ME. The authors began by explaining how RRV manipulates the hosts immune system to gain entry to cells and replicate. Once the virus has entered the cells, it is thought that it disrupts inflammatory pathways and decreases anti-viral genes. Disruption of inflammation has also been reported to affect energy production in individuals with ME. It was concluded that viruses such as RRV can manipulate the hosts immune system resulting in disruption of energy production. Understanding these pathways and interactions may explain why some individuals go on to develop ME post infection and others do not. Findings may also help to understand ME like symptoms reported by some patients who have recovered from Covid-19. This paper could be used by healthcare professionals to understand the development of ME and fatigue symptoms in individuals who have recovered from viruses such as RRV and Covid-19.
Abstract
Ross River virus (RRV) is an endemic Australian arbovirus, and member of the Alphavirus family that also includes Chikungunya virus (CHIK). RRV is responsible for the highest prevalence of human disease cases associated with mosquito-borne transmission in Australia, and has long been a leading suspect in cases of post-viral fatigue syndromes, with extrapolation of this link to Myalgic Encephalomyelitis (ME). Research into RRV pathogenesis has revealed a number of immune evasion strategies, impressive for a virus with a genome size of 12 kb (plus strand RNA), which resonate with insights into viral pathogenesis broadly. Drawing from observations on RRV immune evasion, mechanisms of relevance to long term idiopathic fatigue are featured as a perspective on infection and eventual ME symptoms, which include considerations of; (1) selective pro-inflammatory gene suppression post antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) of RRV infection, (2) Evidence from other virus families of immune disruption and evasion post-ADE, and (3) how virally-driven immune evasion may impact on mitochondrial function via target of rapamycin (TOR) complexes. In light of these RRV measures to counter the host immune - inflammatory responses, links to recent discoveries explaining cellular, immune and metabolomic markers of ME will be explored and discussed, with the implications for long-COVID post SARS-CoV-2 also considered. Compelling issues on the connections between virally-induced alterations in cytokine expression, for example, will be of particular interest in light of energy pathways, and how these perturbations manifest clinically.
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'Long COVID': persistent COVID-19 symptoms in survivors managed in Lagos State, Nigeria.
Osikomaiya, B, Erinoso, O, Wright, KO, Odusola, AO, Thomas, B, Adeyemi, O, Bowale, A, Adejumo, O, Falana, A, Abdus-Salam, I, et al
BMC infectious diseases. 2021;21(1):304
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The spectrum of clinical presentation of COVID-19 ranges from the asymptomatic, to symptomatic with varying levels of severity depending on age, comorbid conditions, and basal metabolic index. The aim of this study was to highlight associations between socio-demographic characteristics and comorbidities with persistent symptoms in COVID-19 survivors. This study is a retrospective study using de-identified data of 274 COVID-19 survivors. A thorough clinical history and physical assessment was conducted for all patients. Results indicate that: - the most common symptom manifested by survivors was easy fatigability. - neurologic symptoms were found in 39.1% of the COVID-19 survivors. Symptoms included headaches, insomnia, and attention deficits. - there was no significant association between demographic factors and comorbidities such as hypertension or diabetes and the presence of persistent symptoms in COVID-19 survivors. Authors conclude these findings, together with evidence from other studies, can guide policies and interventions aimed at improving the quality of life of survivors and return to usual health.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease once thought to be a respiratory infection is now recognised as a multi-system disease affecting the respiratory, cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, neurological, immune, and hematopoietic systems. An emerging body of evidence suggests the persistence of COVID-19 symptoms of varying patterns among some survivors. This study aimed to describe persistent symptoms in COVID-19 survivors and investigate possible risk factors for these persistent symptoms. METHODS The study used a retrospective study design. The study population comprised of discharged COVID-19 patients. Demographic information, days since discharge, comorbidities, and persistent COVID-19 like symptoms were assessed in patients attending the COVID-19 outpatient clinic in Lagos State. Statistical analysis was done using STATA 15.0 software (StataCorp Texas) with significance placed at p-value < 0.05. RESULTS A total of 274 patients were enrolled in the study. A majority were within the age group > 35 to ≤49 years (38.3%), and male (66.1%). More than one-third (40.9%) had persistent COVID-19 symptoms after discharge, and 19.7% had more than three persistent COVID-like symptoms. The most persistent COVID-like symptoms experienced were easy fatigability (12.8%), headaches (12.8%), and chest pain (9.8%). Symptomatic COVID-19 disease with moderate severity compared to mild severity was a predictor of persistent COVID-like symptoms after discharge (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION Findings from this study suggests that patients who recovered from COVID-19 disease may still experience COVID-19 like symptoms, particularly fatigue and headaches. Therefore, careful monitoring should be in place after discharge to help mitigate the effects of these symptoms and improve the quality of life of COVID-19 survivors.
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Prevalence of Depression Symptoms in US Adults Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic.
Ettman, CK, Abdalla, SM, Cohen, GH, Sampson, L, Vivier, PM, Galea, S
JAMA network open. 2020;3(9):e2019686
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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an event that can cause physical, emotional, and psychological harm. Thus, the COVID-19 pandemic can itself be considered a traumatic event. The aim of this study was to (a) assess the burden of depression symptoms in the US during COVID-19 using the same measures deployed in representative national surveys before COVID-19 began, and (b) understand the factors associated with depression symptoms during and before COVID-19. This study is a population-representative survey study of US adults. A total of 1441 participants were included in the final sample out of which 619 participants were aged between 18 and 39 years, 723 were men, and 933 were non-Hispanic White. Results showed that: - prevalence of depression symptoms in the US increased more than 3-fold during the COVID-19 pandemic, from 8.5% before COVID-19 to 27.8% during COVID-19. - there was a shift in depression symptoms, with fewer people with no symptoms and more people with more symptoms during COVID-19 than before COVID-19. - lower income groups were at greater risk of depression symptoms than higher income groups. Authors conclude that the potential for the mental health consequences of COVID-19 to be large in scale, to recognize that these effects can be long-lasting, and to consider preventative action to help mitigate its effects.
Abstract
Importance: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and the policies to contain it have been a near ubiquitous exposure in the US with unknown effects on depression symptoms. Objective: To estimate the prevalence of and risk factors associated with depression symptoms among US adults during vs before the COVID-19 pandemic. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationally representative survey study used 2 population-based surveys of US adults aged 18 or older. During COVID-19, estimates were derived from the COVID-19 and Life Stressors Impact on Mental Health and Well-being study, conducted from March 31, 2020, to April 13, 2020. Before COVID-19 estimates were derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, conducted from 2017 to 2018. Data were analyzed from April 15 to 20, 2020. Exposures: The COVID-19 pandemic and outcomes associated with the measures to mitigate it. Main Outcomes and Measures: Depression symptoms, defined using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 cutoff of 10 or higher. Categories of depression symptoms were defined as none (score, 0-4), mild (score, 5-9), moderate (score, 10-14), moderately severe (score, 15-19), and severe (score, ≥20). Results: A total of 1470 participants completed the COVID-19 and Life Stressors Impact on Mental Health and Well-being survey (completion rate, 64.3%), and after removing those with missing data, the final during-COVID-19 sample included 1441 participants (619 participants [43.0%] aged 18-39 years; 723 [50.2%] men; 933 [64.7%] non-Hispanic White). The pre-COVID-19 sample included 5065 participants (1704 participants [37.8%] aged 18-39 years; 2588 [51.4%] women; 1790 [62.9%] non-Hispanic White). Depression symptom prevalence was higher in every category during COVID-19 compared with before (mild: 24.6% [95% CI, 21.8%-27.7%] vs 16.2% [95% CI, 15.1%-17.4%]; moderate: 14.8% [95% CI, 12.6%-17.4%] vs 5.7% [95% CI, 4.8%-6.9%]; moderately severe: 7.9% [95% CI, 6.3%-9.8%] vs 2.1% [95% CI, 1.6%-2.8%]; severe: 5.1% [95% CI, 3.8%-6.9%] vs 0.7% [95% CI, 0.5%-0.9%]). Higher risk of depression symptoms during COVID-19 was associated with having lower income (odds ratio, 2.37 [95% CI, 1.26-4.43]), having less than $5000 in savings (odds ratio, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.02-2.26]), and exposure to more stressors (odds ratio, 3.05 [95% CI, 1.95-4.77]). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that prevalence of depression symptoms in the US was more than 3-fold higher during COVID-19 compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic. Individuals with lower social resources, lower economic resources, and greater exposure to stressors (eg, job loss) reported a greater burden of depression symptoms. Post-COVID-19 plans should account for the probable increase in mental illness to come, particularly among at-risk populations.