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Risk factors for COVID-19-related mortality in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes in England: a population-based cohort study.
Holman, N, Knighton, P, Kar, P, O'Keefe, J, Curley, M, Weaver, A, Barron, E, Bakhai, C, Khunti, K, Wareham, NJ, et al
The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology. 2020;8(10):823-833
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Diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and hypertension are the most common chronic conditions predisposing people to severe COVID-19 disease. The aim of this population-based cohort study, using data from 98% of general practices in England, was to investigate the associations between various risk factors, including poor blood sugar control, and COVID-19-related deaths in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Between Feb 16 and May 11, 2020, 1604 people with type 1 diabetes and 36 291 people with type 2 diabetes died from all causes, of which almost 30% had COVID-19 listed on the death certificate, either a primary underlying or secondary cause of death. Male gender, age and being of Black or Asian ethnicity were associated with an increased mortality from COVID-19. Poor blood sugar control, as determined by HbA1C, prior to infection was strongly associated with COVID-19-related death, independent of other risk factors. Obesity (BMI of 30 or over) as well as being underweight were also significantly associated with COVID-19 mortality. The authors discuss that people with diabetes are at increased risk of many serious infections and that high blood glucose levels are known to impair immunity and may amplify the hyperimmune response associated with severe COVID-19.
Abstract
BACKGROUND Diabetes has been associated with increased COVID-19-related mortality, but the association between modifiable risk factors, including hyperglycaemia and obesity, and COVID-19-related mortality among people with diabetes is unclear. We assessed associations between risk factors and COVID-19-related mortality in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes. METHODS We did a population-based cohort study of people with diagnosed diabetes who were registered with a general practice in England. National population data on people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes collated by the National Diabetes Audit were linked to mortality records collated by the Office for National Statistics from Jan 2, 2017, to May 11, 2020. We identified the weekly number of deaths in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes during the first 19 weeks of 2020 and calculated the percentage change from the mean number of deaths for the corresponding weeks in 2017, 2018, and 2019. The associations between risk factors (including sex, age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, HbA1c, renal impairment [from estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)], BMI, tobacco smoking status, and cardiovascular comorbidities) and COVID-19-related mortality (defined as International Classification of Diseases, version 10, code U07.1 or U07.2 as a primary or secondary cause of death) between Feb 16 and May 11, 2020, were investigated by use of Cox proportional hazards models. FINDINGS Weekly death registrations in the first 19 weeks of 2020 exceeded the corresponding 3-year weekly averages for 2017-19 by 672 (50·9%) in people with type 1 diabetes and 16 071 (64·3%) in people with type 2 diabetes. Between Feb 16 and May 11, 2020, among 264 390 people with type 1 diabetes and 2 874 020 people with type 2 diabetes, 1604 people with type 1 diabetes and 36 291 people with type 2 diabetes died from all causes. Of these total deaths, 464 in people with type 1 diabetes and 10 525 in people with type 2 diabetes were defined as COVID-19 related, of which 289 (62·3%) and 5833 (55·4%), respectively, occurred in people with a history of cardiovascular disease or with renal impairment (eGFR <60 mL/min per 1·73 m2). Male sex, older age, renal impairment, non-white ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, and previous stroke and heart failure were associated with increased COVID-19-related mortality in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Compared with people with an HbA1c of 48-53 mmol/mol (6·5-7·0%), people with an HbA1c of 86 mmol/mol (10·0%) or higher had increased COVID-19-related mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2·23 [95% CI 1·50-3·30, p<0·0001] in type 1 diabetes and 1·61 [1·47-1·77, p<0·0001] in type 2 diabetes). In addition, in people with type 2 diabetes, COVID-19-related mortality was significantly higher in those with an HbA1c of 59 mmol/mol (7·6%) or higher than in those with an HbA1c of 48-53 mmol/mol (HR 1·22 [95% CI 1·15-1·30, p<0·0001] for 59-74 mmol/mol [7·6-8·9%] and 1·36 [1·24-1·50, p<0·0001] for 75-85 mmol/mol [9·0-9·9%]). The association between BMI and COVID-19-related mortality was U-shaped: in type 1 diabetes, compared with a BMI of 25·0-29·9 kg/m2, a BMI of less than 20·0 kg/m2 had an HR of 2·45 (95% CI 1·60-3·75, p<0·0001) and a BMI of 40·0 kg/m2 or higher had an HR of 2·33 (1·53-3·56, p<0·0001); the corresponding HRs for type 2 diabetes were 2·33 (2·11-2·56, p<0·0001) and 1·60 (1·47-1·75, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION Deaths in people with type 1 and type 2 diabetes rose sharply during the initial COVID-19 pandemic in England. Increased COVID-19-related mortality was associated not only with cardiovascular and renal complications of diabetes but, independently, also with glycaemic control and BMI. FUNDING None.
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Metabolic impact of weight loss induced reduction of adipose ACE-2 - Potential implication in COVID-19 infections?
Li, L, Spranger, L, Soll, D, Beer, F, Brachs, M, Spranger, J, Mai, K
Metabolism: clinical and experimental. 2020;113:154401
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Obesity is now recognised as a risk factor for increased severity of Covid-19 infections. ACE-2 is a protein that has many functions but also allows Covid-19 into cells and is particularly evident in body tissues, which store fat. It is therefore possible that Covid-19 will target fat-storing tissues in the body. This 12-month randomised control weight-loss intervention study of 143 obese individuals aimed to determine ACE-2 expression and whether it could be modified by weight loss. The results showed that ACE-2 was only present in fat storing tissue and not muscle tissue. Interestingly individuals with pre-diabetes or diabetes had the lowest levels of ACE-2. Weight loss resulted in reduced ACE-2 in fat storing tissue, which resulted in an improvement in markers for diabetes. It was concluded that reduction of ACE-2 in fat storing tissues as a result of weight loss can improve markers for diabetes and could impact the severity of Covid-19 infection. Healthcare professionals could use this study to understand how weight loss in patients with obesity could decrease their risk of severe Covid-19 infection.
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE)-2 is a modulator of adipose tissue metabolism. However, human data of adipose ACE-2 is rarely available. Considering that, ACE-2 is believed to be the receptor responsible for cell entry of SARS-CoV-2, a better understanding of its regulation is desirable. We therefore characterized the modulation of subcutaneous adipose ACE-2 mRNA expression during weight loss and the impact of ACE-2 expression on weight loss induced short- and long-term improvements of glucose metabolism. METHODS 143 subjects (age > 18; BMI ≥ 27 kg/m2) were analyzed before and after a standardized 12-week dietary weight reduction program. Afterwards subjects were randomized to a 12-month lifestyle intervention or a control group (Maintain-Adults trial). Insulin sensitivity (IS) was estimated by HOMA-IR (as an estimate of liver IS) and ISIClamp (as an estimate of skeletal muscle IS). ACE-2 mRNA expression (ACE-2AT) was measured in subcutaneous adipose tissue before and after weight loss. RESULTS ACE-2AT was not affected by obesity, but was reduced in insulin resistant subjects. Weight loss resulted in a decline of ACE-2AT (29.0 (20.0-47.9) vs. 21.0 (13.0-31.0); p = 1.6 ∗ 10-7). A smaller reduction of ACE-2 AT (ΔACE-2AT) was associated with a larger improvement of ISIClamp (p = 0.013) during weight reduction over 3 months, but not with the extend of weight loss. The degree of changes in insulin resistance were preserved until month 12 and was also predicted by the weight loss induced degree of ΔACE-2AT (p = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS Our data indicate that subcutaneous adipose ACE-2 expression correlates with insulin sensitivity. Weight loss induced decline of subcutaneous adipose ACE-2 expression might affect short- and long-term improvement of myocellular insulin sensitivity, which might be also relevant in the context of ACE-2 downregulation by SARS-CoV-2. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00850629, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00850629, date of registration: February 25, 2009.